How Did the Stock Market Close: The AI Rally Returns

How Did the Stock Market Close: The AI Rally Returns

Honestly, if you looked at the screen halfway through Wednesday, you probably thought the wheels were finally coming off the AI hype train. It was messy. But today, Thursday, January 15, 2026, the vibe shifted completely. We saw a definitive answer to the question: how did the stock market close? It closed in the green, snapping a two-day losing streak that had started to make people a little twitchy.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average led the charge, jumping 292.81 points—about 0.6%—to finish at 49,442.44. Not a record, but pretty close. The S&P 500 followed suit, gaining 0.26% to end at 6,944.47, while the Nasdaq Composite added 0.25% to settle at 23,530.02. It wasn't a "moon shot" kind of day, but it was a solid, stabilizing performance that put the "AI is a bubble" talk back on the shelf for at least another 24 hours.

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Why the Chip Sector Just Saved Your Portfolio

The big story today was Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC). They dropped an earnings report that basically acted as a shot of adrenaline for the entire tech sector. They didn't just beat estimates; they blew them out of the water with a record $16 billion quarterly profit.

But the number that really got Wall Street talking? $56 billion.

That’s what TSMC plans to spend on equipment and infrastructure this year alone. When the world’s biggest contract chipmaker says they are upping their capital expenditure by 30% to 40%, they aren't guessing. They are seeing the orders come in. This news sent their U.S.-listed shares up 4.4% and dragged the rest of the semi-conductor world up with them. Nvidia (NVDA) rose 2.13% to close at $187.05, and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) climbed nearly 2%.

Banks and Jobs: The Unsung Heroes of Thursday

While everyone was staring at the chip stocks, the "big banks" were quietly doing a lot of the heavy lifting. Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley both turned in fourth-quarter results that reminded everyone why they’re the heavyweights. Morgan Stanley, in particular, saw investment banking revenue jump 47%. It turns out that when the market is this volatile, deal-making actually thrives.

BlackRock also had a monster day. Their stock jumped nearly 6% after they announced they are now managing a mind-boggling $14 trillion in assets. To put that in perspective, that’s more than the GDP of most countries.

Then there was the labor market. Initial jobless claims fell to 198,000. Economists were expecting something closer to 215,000. It’s a bit of a "good news is good news" situation right now—the economy looks resilient enough to handle current rates, even if the Fed is still playing its cards close to its chest.

A Quick Look at the Numbers

If you're tracking the specifics of how did the stock market close, here is the breakdown of the major movers:

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  • Dow Jones: 49,442.44 (+0.60%)
  • S&P 500: 6,944.47 (+0.26%)
  • Nasdaq: 23,530.02 (+0.25%)
  • ImmunityBio (IBRX): The wild card of the day, surging 30.8% on a massive revenue beat for its cancer therapy, Anktiva.
  • Grab Holdings (GRAB): On the flip side, this one slid 5.2% as investors questioned the immediate payoff of their recent AI logistics acquisitions.

The Trump-Iran Factor

Geopolitics had a weirdly calming effect today. Oil prices actually dropped over 4% as President Trump signaled a lowering of tensions with Iran. WTI Crude fell below $60 a barrel. For the average investor, this is a double-edged sword. It helps keep inflation expectations in check, which the market loves, but it did drag down energy stocks. The energy sector was actually one of the few laggards today, losing 0.91%.

What This Means for Your Next Move

We're in a market that is hyper-sensitive to "proof." Last year, you could mention "AI" in a slide deck and your stock would pop. In 2026, the honeymoon is over. Investors want to see the receipts. TSMC provided them today, which is why we saw the rebound.

However, don't ignore the software slump. While hardware (chips) is flying, software-heavy names like Salesforce and Adobe have been struggling lately. There’s a rotation happening. Money is moving out of the "promises" of software and into the "physicality" of infrastructure.

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Actionable Insights for the Weekend:

  • Check your Semi exposure: If you’re heavy on Nvidia, today was great, but keep an eye on the $52-$56 billion capex guidance from TSMC. If that spending doesn't translate to software sales by Q3, we could see a correction.
  • Watch the $60 oil floor: With energy prices dipping, watch for entry points in transport or consumer discretionary stocks that benefit from lower fuel costs.
  • Earnings season is just starting: We’ve seen the banks and the big chip manufacturers. Next week, the focus shifts to consumer tech and retail. Watch if the "resilient consumer" narrative holds up as well as the "AI infrastructure" one did today.

The answer to how did the stock market close today is simple: with a sigh of relief. The floor held, the chips are down (in a good way), and the bulls are still in control for now.