How Did the Nasdaq Do Today: What Most People Get Wrong About This Tech Rebound

How Did the Nasdaq Do Today: What Most People Get Wrong About This Tech Rebound

Honestly, if you just looked at the morning headlines, you’d think tech was having a full-blown party. By the time the closing bell rang on Thursday, January 15, 2026, the mood was a bit more... let's call it "cautiously optimistic." The Nasdaq Composite ended the day up about 58 points, closing at 23,530.02.

That’s a 0.2% gain.

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Not exactly a moonshot, but after the 1% drubbing it took yesterday, investors will take what they can get. It’s funny how the market works—we spent the first half of the day cheering for semiconductors and the second half biting our nails over interest rates and hawkish Fed talk.

How Did the Nasdaq Do Today? The TSM Effect

The real hero of the day wasn't even an American company. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) basically carried the entire tech sector on its back. They dropped an earnings report that was, frankly, a monster.

A 35% jump in profit? In this economy?

That kind of growth is almost unheard of for a company that size, but it proves that the hunger for AI chips is nowhere near satiated. TSM shares jumped over 5%, and they dragged the rest of the "chip family" with them. NVIDIA (NVDA) managed to claw back some ground, rising over 2%, and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) also caught a nice breeze from the TSM news.

But here’s the thing people miss. While the big names were moving, the underlying "plumbing" of the tech market was dealing with some messy economic data.

The Jobless Claims "Problem"

Usually, you want to see people keeping their jobs. But in the weird, upside-down world of the stock market, the fact that initial jobless claims dropped to 198,000 (way lower than the 215,000 experts expected) actually spooked some folks.

Why? Because a "stronger than expected" labor market gives the Federal Reserve an excuse to keep interest rates higher for longer.

We heard from Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic and Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid today. They weren't exactly singing lullabies. Bostic basically said inflation pressures aren't dead yet and the Fed needs to stay restrictive through 2026. That talk is like cold water on a tech rally because high rates make those future earnings in Silicon Valley look a lot less attractive.

Winners and Losers: Beyond the Big Tech Names

If you only watched the Mag Seven, you missed the real drama in the mid-caps.

Biotech was a total mixed bag. ImmunityBio (IBRX) absolutely skyrocketed, up nearly 30% after they reported a massive 400% revenue growth. That’s the kind of day that makes retail traders rich. On the flip side, you had Reddit (RDDT) taking an 8% nosedive because an analyst at RBC started worrying about their advertising business.

It’s a brutal reminder that in 2026, the market isn't just moving in one giant wave; it’s incredibly fragmented.

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A Quick Look at the Numbers

  • Nasdaq Composite: 23,530.02 (+0.25%)
  • Top Gainer: ImmunityBio (IBRX) +29.6%
  • Heavy Weight Move: NVIDIA (NVDA) +2.3%
  • Notable Dragger: Reddit (RDDT) -9.7%

The Geopolitical Wildcard

We can't talk about how the Nasdaq did today without mentioning the White House and the Middle East. President Trump made some comments that seemed to de-escalate the tension with Iran, which sent oil prices tumbling about 4%.

Lower oil is generally good for the "tech lifestyle" because it lowers costs for everything from data centers to shipping, but it also means investors start shifting money out of energy stocks and back into growth. We saw Exxon and Chevron lose a bit of their luster today while the tech-heavy indexes found a floor.

Why 2026 Feels Different for Tech Investors

You've probably noticed that we aren't seeing those 3% daily swings as often as we did a few years ago. The market is maturing. Or maybe it's just exhausted.

Fidelity’s Josh Chisholm recently pointed out that for the first time in nearly three years, median earnings growth is finally turning positive. This is huge. It means the rally isn't just about five or six giant companies anymore. The "average" company on the Nasdaq is actually starting to make money again.

However, we have to acknowledge the "cracks" Joe Mazzola from Charles Schwab mentioned today. High-yield issuers (companies with lower credit scores) are struggling with their debt. If interest rates don't start coming down significantly by mid-year, some of these smaller tech firms might hit a wall.

What to Watch Tomorrow

If you're wondering what's next after seeing how the Nasdaq did today, keep your eyes on the banks and the big retailers. Walmart is actually joining the Nasdaq-100 on January 20th, replacing AstraZeneca. That’s a massive shift in the index’s DNA.

For tomorrow, the focus stays on the "no hire, no fire" labor market. If we get more data showing the economy is "too strong," tech might struggle to keep this rebound alive.

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Your Next Steps for a Volatile Friday:

  1. Check your stop-losses on high-growth biotech stocks; the volatility in names like IBRX is a double-edged sword.
  2. Monitor the 10-year Treasury yield. It’s hovering around 4.14%—if that spikes toward 4.25%, expect the Nasdaq to give back today’s gains.
  3. Watch the semiconductor sector pre-market. If the TSM hype fades, the whole index could lose its primary engine.