If you’re checking the Hobart 10 day weather because you’ve got a flight booked to Tassie, I have some news. Most people look at the little sun icons on their phone and think "Summer! Awesome." Then they land at Hobart Airport, get hit by a blast of wind straight from the Antarctic, and realize they’ve made a huge mistake.
Hobart is basically the moody teenager of Australian cities. One minute it’s brilliant sunshine, and the next, kunanyi / Mount Wellington is hiding behind a wall of grey mist. Honestly, it’s beautiful, but it's a lot.
The Reality of the Hobart 10 Day Weather Forecast
Let's look at the actual numbers for the next week and a half. Right now, in mid-January 2026, we’re seeing a classic Tasmanian summer mix. You’ve got daytime highs hovering around 20°C to 26°C, which sounds perfect for a beer at Salamanca, right?
But look closer.
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The overnight lows are dipping down to 10°C. That is a massive swing. If you’re out for dinner and the sun goes down, you’ll feel that drop in your bones. We also have a low-pressure system rolling through around midweek—specifically Wednesday the 21st—which is expected to bring about 5mm of rain.
It’s not a deluge, but in Hobart, rain usually comes with "The Wind."
What the Forecast Won't Tell You
The Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) does a great job, but they can't always describe the feel. Hobart is Australia's second-driest capital city, but it doesn't feel dry when the southerly busters come through.
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Here is what the next 10 days actually look like:
- Sun & Burn: The UV index is currently hitting 11 (Extreme). Because the air is so clear and cool, you won't feel yourself roasting. You’ll just look like a beetroot by 4 PM.
- The Mountain Factor: If the forecast says 22°C in the city, it’s probably 12°C at the summit of Mount Wellington.
- The Wind Chill: We’re seeing wind speeds of 20 km/h to 31 km/h this week. That turns a "mild" 20-degree day into a "where is my hoodie?" day very quickly.
Why the "Tassie Tuxedo" Is a Real Thing
You’ll see locals walking around in black puffer jackets even when the sun is out. We call it the Tassie Tuxedo. It’s not a fashion statement; it’s survival.
If you are packing based on the Hobart 10 day weather, ignore the "summer" label. You need layers. I’m talking a base layer, a light knit, and a windproof shell.
I’ve seen tourists try to do the walk from the city to Battery Point in just a T-shirt because the app said "mostly sunny." Halfway there, the clouds rolled off the Derwent River and they were shivering. Don't be that person.
The Breakdown of the Next 10 Days
- Early Week (Jan 18–20): Pretty stable. Highs of 20°C to 26°C. These are your best days for the ferry to MONA or hitting up the beach at Sandy Bay.
- Midweek Change (Jan 21–23): This is the "Tasmanian Special." A cold front is pushing through. Expect the temperature to struggle to reach 19°C on Friday. There’s a 30% to 60% chance of showers. This is museum weather.
- The Recovery (Jan 24–27): Things start warming back up. We’re looking at 24°C to 26°C for the weekend. Perfect for the Salamanca Market on Saturday, but get there early before the wind picks up in the afternoon.
Common Misconceptions About Hobart's Climate
A lot of people think Hobart is just "cold Melbourne." That’s not quite right. Melbourne is erratic, sure, but Hobart is maritime. The ocean regulates everything.
The water in the Derwent is currently about 16°C. If you’re planning on swimming, you better be brave or wearing a thick wetsuit. It’s "refreshing," which is local code for "my toes are numb."
Also, don't bother with an umbrella. The wind here eats umbrellas for breakfast. A quality raincoat with a hood is your best friend.
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Actionable Tips for Your Trip
- Download the "WillyWeather" or BoM app: But check the "Wind" tab more than the "Temp" tab. Wind determines your comfort here.
- Sunscreen is non-negotiable: Even if it’s cloudy. The ozone layer is thin down here, and the "bite" of the sun is real.
- Plan for the mountain early: If you see the summit of Mount Wellington is clear, go now. Don't wait until tomorrow. The clouds can settle in for days without warning.
- Hydrate: The air is surprisingly dry despite the coastal location.
The Hobart 10 day weather shows a city that is currently at its most vibrant. It’s the best time of year to visit, provided you respect the fact that the Southern Ocean is right on the doorstep. Pack for four seasons, keep a puffer jacket in the boot of your rental car, and you’ll have a blast.
Stay updated on the latest shifts by checking the local radar every morning, as the Great Southern Ocean likes to change its mind frequently.