Guantanamo Bay Cuba jail: What’s Actually Left and Why It Won't Close

Guantanamo Bay Cuba jail: What’s Actually Left and Why It Won't Close

If you look at a satellite map of the southeastern coast of Cuba, you'll see a jagged bite taken out of the shoreline. That’s Guantanamo Bay. Tucked away on that 45-square-mile slice of scrubland and cactus is the Guantanamo Bay Cuba jail, a place that has basically become a permanent fixture of American foreign policy, despite the fact that almost every president for twenty years has said they wanted to shut it down. It’s a weird, legal "no man's land." Technically, the U.S. pays Cuba a lease—about $4,085 a year—which the Cuban government hasn't actually cashed in decades because they want the U.S. military gone. It's a standoff that’s been frozen in time since the 1960s, but the prison itself is a much newer, much darker story.

The facility opened its gates in January 2002. At its peak, it held roughly 780 detainees. Today? There are 30 men left. That’s it. Just thirty. Yet, the cost to keep it running is astronomical, roughly $13 million per prisoner per year. You could buy every single inmate a private island and a fleet of yachts for that price, but instead, they stay in a high-security bubble that exists outside the normal rules of the U.S. justice system.

Why is this place still a thing? Honestly, it’s complicated. The Bush administration chose this spot specifically because they thought it was outside the jurisdiction of U.S. federal courts. They called the detainees "unlawful enemy combatants" rather than "prisoners of war." That distinction is huge. If you’re a prisoner of war, the Geneva Conventions kick in. If you’re a criminal defendant in the U.S., you get a right to a speedy trial. But at the Guantanamo Bay Cuba jail, many men sat for two decades without ever being charged with a crime.

It’s a mess.

The Supreme Court eventually stepped in with cases like Boumediene v. Bush in 2008, saying that detainees do have the right to challenge their detention in court. But "right to challenge" doesn't mean "right to go home." The legal machinery moves at the speed of a glacier. You've got guys like Mansoor Adayfi, who was released after 14 years and wrote a book called Don't Forget Us Here. He wasn't some high-level mastermind; he was a guy in the wrong place at the wrong time who ended up in a jumpsuit.

Camp 7 and the "Forever Prisoners"

For a long time, the most secretive part of the base was Camp 7. This was where the "high-value detainees" were kept—the guys who were previously held in CIA "black sites" and subjected to what the government called "enhanced interrogation techniques." We're talking about waterboarding, sleep deprivation, and worse.

The Senate Intelligence Committee report on torture is a massive, harrowing document that details exactly what happened. Because of that history, the trials for the men accused of planning the 9/11 attacks, like Khalid Sheikh Mohammed, have been stuck in pre-trial hearings for years. You can't just have a normal trial when much of the evidence was obtained through torture. It creates a legal paradox that no one knows how to solve. So, they just sit there. Aging.

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Life inside the wire: It’s not what you think

When people imagine the Guantanamo Bay Cuba jail, they usually think of the orange jumpsuits from the early 2000s at Camp X-Ray. That camp has been overgrown by weeds for years. The current facilities, like Camp 5 and Camp 6, look more like high-tech U.S. supermax prisons.

But the vibe is different now. It’s geriatric.

The remaining population is getting old. We're talking about prisoners with heart disease, diabetes, and cognitive decline. The Pentagon actually had to bring in medical equipment for elderly care, including things like colonoscopy machines and specialized geriatric chairs. It’s a surreal shift from the "worst of the worst" rhetoric of the early 2000s to essentially running a high-security nursing home on a Caribbean island.

  • Detainees can watch TV and have access to a library.
  • They’ve historically been allowed to take art classes—some of that art even made it to an exhibit in New York, which caused a huge political stir.
  • The "compliant" prisoners live in communal settings where they can eat together.

But don't let the art classes fool you. The psychological toll of indefinite detention is a real thing. Lawyers for the detainees often talk about "learned helplessness." When you don’t know if you’re ever going to leave, the mind starts to break down.

Why hasn't it been closed yet?

Every time a president tries to shut the Guantanamo Bay Cuba jail, they hit a brick wall in Congress. There’s a law that specifically prohibits using federal funds to transfer Guantanamo detainees to the U.S. mainland. Not even for trial. Not even to the highest-security prison in Colorado.

Politicians are terrified of being the one who "brought terrorists to American soil."

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So, we have this weird stalemate. The U.S. government has to find "third-party countries" willing to take these guys. Sometimes it’s Oman, sometimes it’s Germany or the UAE. But it’s not just a matter of putting them on a plane. The State Department has to negotiate security guarantees, making sure these countries will monitor the former detainees and provide them with some sort of rehabilitation or support. It’s a diplomatic nightmare.

And then there are the "forever prisoners." These are the men the government thinks are too dangerous to release but who can't be tried because the evidence is tainted by torture. They are stuck in a loop.

The Periodic Review Board

Currently, the fate of the remaining men is handled by the Periodic Review Board (PRB). It’s basically a parole board made up of officials from the Departments of State, Justice, Defense, and Homeland Security. They look at whether a prisoner still poses a "significant threat" to the U.S.

If they get cleared for transfer, they join a waiting list. But even being "cleared" doesn't mean you’re leaving tomorrow. Some men have been cleared for years and are still sitting in their cells because the diplomatic deals haven't been signed.

The 2026 Perspective: Where do we go from here?

As of 2026, the Guantanamo Bay Cuba jail remains an open wound in international relations. It’s a recruitment tool for extremists and a point of hypocrisy that other countries bring up whenever the U.S. talks about human rights.

But the reality is that Gitmo is shrinking through attrition.

The population is dwindling. The cost per head is skyrocketing. Eventually, the sheer absurdity of the budget might be what finally kills it, rather than a moral epiphany. If you're looking for the "ultimate truth" of the place, it's that it represents a moment in history that the U.S. hasn't quite figured out how to move past.

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Actionable Insights and Next Steps

If you are following the developments of the Guantanamo detention center, here is how to stay informed and what to actually watch for:

  1. Monitor the PRB Results: Check the Periodic Review Secretariat website. They actually post the unclassified results of the hearings. It’s the most direct way to see who is being cleared for release and why.
  2. Follow the Military Commissions: The trials for the 9/11 defendants are technically public, though they happen in a specialized court at the base. Journalists like Carol Rosenberg, who has covered the base for over two decades, are the best sources for the granular, day-to-day legal shifts.
  3. Read Detainee Accounts: To get a sense of the human cost, read Guantánamo Diary by Mohamedou Ould Slahi. It was heavily redacted by the government, but it provides the most visceral look at what the early days of the "War on Terror" detention looked like from the inside.
  4. Look at the NDAA: Every year, the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) contains the language that either allows or blocks the closure of the prison. If you want to know if Gitmo will close, don't listen to campaign speeches—read the text of the defense budget.

The story of the prison isn't just about the 30 men left. It’s about the precedent it set for how a democracy handles a crisis. It’s easy to follow the rules when things are calm; the Guantanamo Bay Cuba jail is what happens when those rules are treated as optional.