Honestly, looking at the box score for Geno Smith often feels like reading a mystery novel where the ending doesn't quite match the clues. If you just glance at the surface-level Geno Smith season stats from this past 2024 campaign, you might see 21 touchdowns and 15 interceptions and think, "Okay, middle-of-the-pack veteran."
But that's a mistake.
To really get what happened with the Seahawks last year, you have to look at the chaos Geno was navigating. He wasn't just playing quarterback; he was basically a one-man survivalist. He led the league in being harassed. Literally. Smith was pressured on 251 drop backs—the most in the NFL. Despite that, he still managed to throw for 4,320 yards.
He’s a sniper. But even a sniper misses when the building is shaking.
Breaking Down the 2024 Geno Smith Season Stats
Let’s get into the nitty-gritty. Smith finished the 2024 season with a completion percentage of 70.4%. That is absurd when you consider how often he was running for his life. Most guys see their accuracy crater when the pocket collapses. Geno? He became only the 20th quarterback in the history of the league to finish a full season north of 70%.
- Passing Yards: 4,320 (ranking him in the top six of the league)
- Touchdowns: 21 (boosted by a monster four-TD performance in the season finale)
- Interceptions: 15 (this was the "ugly" stat, ranking third-highest in the NFL)
- Big Time Throws: 28 (top six among all QBs)
The interceptions are what people point to when they want to argue he’s "just a guy." But look at the context: 13 of those 15 picks happened while he was under duress. When the offensive line is a turnstile, the ball has to go somewhere, and sometimes that somewhere is the other team.
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Wait. He also had four game-winning drives. That's the stuff that doesn't show up in a simple "Yards per Attempt" column but wins games in December.
The Grubb Factor and the Air Attack
Under offensive coordinator Ryan Grubb, the Seahawks' offense became a "pass-first, ask questions later" system. It was aggressive. Geno was third in the league in "Big Time Throws" that traveled more than 20 yards. He was letting it fly.
He threw for 879 yards on deep balls alone. That ranked in the top five.
The problem was the lack of balance. The run game was basically an afterthought for most of the year. When a defense knows you aren't going to run, they just pin their ears back and hunt the quarterback. Geno took the brunt of that. He was sacked quite a bit, but his "pressure-to-sack" ratio was actually decent at 19.9%. He was getting out of stuff that would have buried other QBs.
From Seattle to the Raiders: The 2025 Shift
Things got weird in the 2025 offseason. There was a clear disconnect between Geno's camp and the Seahawks' front office regarding his value. He wanted a commitment; they wanted "escape hatches."
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Eventually, the Seahawks pulled the trigger on a trade, sending him to the Las Vegas Raiders.
His first year in Vegas—the 2025 season—was a massive struggle. The Raiders went 2-14. Geno's stats took a hit across the board:
- Yards: 3,025
- Touchdowns: 19
- Interceptions: 17 (leading the league)
- Record: 2-13 as a starter
It was a nightmare scenario. He dealt with a significant high-ankle sprain late in the year and was eventually ruled out for the season finale against the Chiefs. By the time January 2026 rolled around, the Raiders fired Pete Carroll (who had joined them as head coach), leaving Geno’s future in total limbo.
Why the Advanced Metrics Still Like Him
Even in a "bad" year with the Raiders, Geno's Completion Above Expectation (CPOE) remained relatively high. He still hits the windows. The issue is usually what’s happening three feet in front of him.
If you look at his 2024 tape versus his 2025 Raiders tape, the drop-off isn't necessarily in his arm talent. It’s the environment. In 2024, he had DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett. In 2025, he was trying to make it work with a revolving door of targets and a crumbling scheme.
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Real Talk: Is He a Franchise QB?
This is the $75 million question. Literally. That’s the value of the extension he signed with the Raiders through 2027.
Most experts, like those at Pro Football Focus (PFF), still see him as a high-tier processor. He reads the field as well as almost anyone. But he isn't a "processor-plus-athlete" like Lamar Jackson or Josh Allen. He needs a baseline level of protection to be elite.
When he has it? He’s a Pro Bowler.
When he doesn't? He leads the league in picks.
Practical Insights for Fans and Analysts
If you're tracking Geno Smith season stats for fantasy or just to argue with your friends at the bar, stop looking at the TD/INT ratio as the sole gospel.
- Watch the Pressure Rate: If Geno is being pressured on more than 35% of his snaps, his interception rate will likely double. He’s a rhythm passer who needs a clean pocket to maintain that 70% accuracy.
- Red Zone Efficiency: This was his undoing in 2025. His "Turnover Worthy Play" rate skyrocketed inside the 20-yard line.
- The Contract Reality: Despite the big numbers, the Raiders can actually get out of his deal after the 2026 season with relatively minimal damage if they decide to rebuild.
The story of Geno Smith isn't over, but it’s definitely at a crossroads. He proved in 2024 that he could still be an elite distributor under heavy fire. 2025 proved that even an elite distributor can't save a sinking ship.
Moving forward into the 2026 season, the key will be whether a new coaching staff in Las Vegas—or potentially a new team—can provide the structure he had during those peak Seahawks years. He’s 35 now. The arm is still there, but the margin for error is getting thinner by the Sunday.
To keep a pulse on his trajectory, keep an eye on his "Air Yards per Attempt." When that number stays above 7.5, it means he’s playing with confidence. If it dips into the 6.0 range, as it did during the late stages of 2025, it’s a sign that the scheme has failed him or his mobility is compromised.