You’ve probably heard the jokes about Kentucky weather—if you don’t like it, wait five minutes and it’ll change. Well, in Frenchburg, that's basically a law of physics. Nestled right there in Menifee County, this little town deal with some of the most fickle sky-watching in the Bluegrass State.
Honestly, if you're looking at Frenchburg weather, you're seeing a weird mix of humid subtropical vibes and sudden, bone-chilling Appalachian dips. It’s a place where you might need a heavy parka at 7:00 AM and find yourself rolling up your sleeves by lunchtime.
The Reality of January in Frenchburg
Right now, as we're sitting in mid-January 2026, the town is shivering. If you step outside today, Friday, January 16, you’re looking at a high of 45°F, which sounds decent enough until you realize the low is bottoming out at 19°F.
Tonight is where things get messy. There’s a 65% chance of snow moving in. We aren't talking a light dusting either; it's that wet, slushy rain-and-snow mix that makes the winding roads around Beaver Creek a nightmare.
The wind is currently kicking up from the south at 15 mph. It feels a lot colder than the thermometer says. Yesterday was a bit of a fluke, but today is a reminder that January is the coldest month here for a reason.
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Historically, the coldest day of the year in Frenchburg usually hits around January 29. On that day, the "normal" range is between 27°F and 42°F. We’re currently hovering right in that pocket.
What the Next Few Days Look Like
If you have plans this weekend, listen up. Tomorrow, Saturday, January 17, is going to stay chilly with a high of 35°F and a low of 17°F. We’re expecting light snow during the day, so if you’re heading out to Cave Run Lake or just grabbing groceries, take it slow.
Sunday dries out a bit. It’ll be sunny, but "sunny" in January is a bit of a lie. The high is only 27°F. You’ve gotta wait until Monday and Tuesday for the real deep freeze—lows are expected to hit 8°F.
Seriously, single digits. Make sure your pipes are wrapped.
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Why Frenchburg Gets So Much Precipitation
Frenchburg is kinda famous (or infamous) for its moisture. On average, the town gets about 50.87 inches of precipitation a year. To put that in perspective, that’s significantly higher than the national average.
Most people assume the winter is the wettest time, but it’s actually May. That’s when the "wetter season" really kicks in, lasting from mid-March all the way through August. In May, you’re looking at an average of 5.49 inches of rain.
But back to the winter. Snowfall here is a sliding scale. We usually start the season with an average of 1.1 inches of accumulation in December, but by late January, that sliding 31-day average jumps up to 3.8 inches.
Flash flooding is the real boss level for Menifee County. Back in July 2021, Frenchburg got hit with significant flash flooding that caught a lot of people off guard. It's the combination of the local terrain and Beaver Creek—when the water has nowhere to go, it goes everywhere.
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Surviving the Menifee County Swing
Living here means being a bit of a weather nerd. You’ve probably noticed that the humidity rarely drops below 34% even on the driest winter days. In the summer, that humidity turns the air into a warm, wet blanket, especially in July when the average high hits 84°F.
One thing people often get wrong is the "feels like" temperature. Because Frenchburg sits in a bit of a geographic pocket, the wind chill can be brutal. On a night like tonight, where the humidity is sitting at 67% and the temperature is 18°F, the air feels much sharper than it would in a drier climate.
Actionable Steps for Frenchburg Residents
- Check your anti-freeze: With those 8°F lows coming on Monday and Tuesday, your car is going to struggle if it’s not prepped.
- Monitor the South Wind: Wind coming from the south today at 15 mph is bringing in moisture. That’s why we’re seeing that 65% snow chance tonight. When the wind shifts to the west tomorrow, things will start to dry out.
- Beaver Creek Watch: If you live near the water, keep an eye on the rain-to-snow transition. Rain falling on frozen ground is a recipe for instant runoff and local flooding.
- Emergency Kit Prep: Kentucky Emergency Management always harps on this, but seriously, have a three-day kit. If a heavy snow hits the hills, it can take a while for the plows to get to every backroad.
Basically, Frenchburg weather is about preparation. It’s a beautiful place to live, especially when the clouds clear up in September (the clearest month of the year!), but right now, it’s all about staying warm and staying off the ice.
Keep an eye on the barometer, which is currently around 30.14 "Hg. When that starts to drop rapidly, you know the next system is moving in. For now, just buckle up for a cold, snowy Friday night.