Fraser Institute School Rankings: What Most People Get Wrong

Fraser Institute School Rankings: What Most People Get Wrong

If you live in Canada and have kids, you’ve probably felt that annual spike of anxiety when the news cycle hits. You know the one. Headlines start popping up about which schools are "failing" and which ones are "perfect." Suddenly, your local neighborhood Facebook group is on fire because the elementary school down the street got a 4.2 out of 10.

Honestly, it's a lot.

The fraser institute school rankings have become a permanent fixture of the Canadian educational landscape, especially in provinces like Ontario, British Columbia, Alberta, and Quebec. For some parents, these rankings are a bible. They use them to decide where to buy a house or whether to shell out for private tuition. For others—mostly teachers and school board admins—the rankings are a massive headache that ignores the reality of what actually happens in a classroom.

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So, what’s the real story? Is a "10" school actually better than a "5"? Or is the whole system just a way to reward wealthy neighborhoods?

How the scores actually work (it's simpler than you think)

Basically, the Fraser Institute takes data that already exists—standardized test scores—and runs them through a proprietary meat grinder to spit out a number from zero to ten.

In Ontario, they use the EQAO results for Grade 3 and Grade 6. In Alberta, it’s the Provincial Achievement Tests (PATs). They look at average levels in reading, writing, and math, but they also factor in things like the gender gap (how boys perform versus girls) and the "tests below standard" rate.

It sounds objective. Numbers don't lie, right?

Well, it’s not that simple. The most recent 2026 data shows that out of 3,052 schools ranked in Ontario, about 31 hit a perfect 10.0. Many of these, like Al-Manarat Heights in Mississauga or Cottingham in Toronto, are either private institutions or located in very affluent pockets. When you look at the bottom of the list—schools like Willow Park in Scarborough with a 1.2—you start to see a pattern.

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The wealth gap nobody wants to talk about

Here is the "kinda" uncomfortable truth: school rankings are often just a proxy for parental income.

Study after study, including a deep dive from the UBC Library Open Collections, shows a massive correlation between a school's rank and the socio-economic status of the neighborhood. If a kid comes from a home with two university-educated parents, a full fridge, and high-speed internet, they usually do better on standardized tests.

Does that mean the teacher at the "10" school is a genius and the teacher at the "2" school is doing a bad job?

Probably not.

In fact, some of the most impressive work happens in schools that the Fraser Institute ranks poorly. Take Tyendinaga Public School in Ontario. On paper, their score of 5.4 in the 2026 report might look "average." But look closer. Over 43% of their students have special needs. They’ve managed to climb from a 1.6 to a 5.4 in just a few years. That is a gargantuan feat of teaching, yet a parent just glancing at the "5.4" might dismiss the school entirely.

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Why the experts are usually annoyed

If you talk to groups like the Ontario Public School Boards’ Association (OPSBA) or the BC Teachers’ Federation, they’ll tell you the rankings are "simplistic" or even "misleading."

They have a point.

Standardized tests are a snapshot. They don't measure:

  • Whether the school has a great music or drama program.
  • The quality of the sports teams or the "vibe" of the playground.
  • How the school handles bullying or mental health.
  • The diversity of the student body.
  • Whether your kid will actually like going there.

Experts like Jason Price, a professor at the University of Victoria, have argued that these rankings create a "teaching to the test" culture. When a school's reputation—and potentially its enrollment—is tied to a single score, the pressure to focus only on literacy and numeracy becomes overwhelming. Science, social studies, and the arts often get pushed to the back burner.

The "Fastest Improving" silver lining

To be fair to the Fraser Institute, they do try to highlight growth. This is where the data gets interesting.

The 2026 report card highlighted Burleigh Hill in St. Catharines. In 2018, it was sitting at a 4.5. By 2024, it hit a 9.9. That kind of trajectory is what the Institute calls "evidence that every school can improve."

Paige MacPherson, a senior fellow at the Institute, argues that without these rankings, parents are flying blind. She basically says that the government doesn't provide this kind of easy-to-digest comparative data, so the Institute is filling a necessary gap. Whether you love them or hate them, they provide a level of transparency that didn't exist thirty years ago.

Can you use these rankings in court?

This is a wild detail most people miss.

Sometimes parents in custody battles try to use the fraser institute school rankings to argue that a child should live with them because the school in their neighborhood is ranked higher.

The courts usually say: "No thanks."

In an Ontario Superior Court case, a judge ruled that the rankings were "not admissible" as evidence for a child's best interests. The legal system recognizes what many parents forget—that a child's success depends on way more than a school's aggregate test score.

How to use the rankings without losing your mind

If you're looking at the data right now, don't just look at the 2026 score. That's a rookie mistake.

Look at the five-year trend. A school that is consistently a 6.0 might be more stable and reliable than a school that was an 8.0 and is now a 5.0.

Also, look at the "Special Needs" and "ESL" percentages. If a school has a high percentage of English Language Learners and is still maintaining a decent score, that school likely has an incredible support system and very dedicated staff.

Practical steps for parents

Don't let a PDF determine your child's future. Use the rankings as a starting point, not the final word.

  • Visit the school. Nothing replaces a physical walk-through. Is the work on the walls creative? Do the kids look happy?
  • Ask about the extras. If your kid loves soccer or coding, a "10" school with no clubs is worse for them than a "6" school with a championship team.
  • Check the EQAO/PAT breakdowns. The Fraser Institute aggregates data, but you can usually find the raw data on provincial websites. If your kid struggles with math but excels in reading, look at those specific scores rather than the "Overall Rating."
  • Talk to the principal. Ask them how they are addressing the areas where the school scored lower. A principal who is honest about their challenges is much better than one who pretends the rankings don't exist.

At the end of the day, a school is a community, not a spreadsheet. Use the data to ask better questions, but trust your gut when it comes to your kid's happiness. Rankings can tell you how well a group of kids filled out a bubble sheet on a Tuesday in May, but they can't tell you if your child will find a best friend or a mentor who changes their life.