Flagler Beach Weather Forecast: What Most People Get Wrong

Flagler Beach Weather Forecast: What Most People Get Wrong

You’re probably thinking of Florida as that place where it’s always 80 degrees and the sun is a constant companion. Honestly, if you’re heading to the coast right now, you might want to rethink the flip-flops-only strategy. Flagler Beach is doing that thing it does in mid-January where the Atlantic breeze starts to bite just a little harder than the postcards suggest.

Right now, as of late Saturday night, the Flagler Beach weather forecast is sitting at a cool 59°F. It’s mostly cloudy. The wind is coming out of the south at about 7 mph, which isn't much, but with the humidity hanging heavy at 85%, it feels a bit damp. Basically, it’s that "sweater-on-the-porch" kind of night rather than "swim-at-midnight" vibes.

Why Sunday Is About to Change Everything

If you have plans for Sunday, January 18, listen up because the atmosphere is about to throw a bit of a tantrum. While Saturday saw a decent high of 69°F, Sunday is going to struggle. We are looking at a high of only 59°F, and it’s likely going to hit that early.

The real story? Rain. Lots of it.

There is a 75% chance of rain during the day. It’s not just a drizzle, either. We’re expecting northwest winds to kick up significantly, reaching 21 mph. By the time the sun goes down—not that you'll see it much through the clouds—the temperature is going to dive. We’re talking a low of 36°F.

Yes, 36. In Florida.

The Survival Guide for the Next 48 Hours

Most visitors get caught off guard by the wind chill near the pier. When those northwest winds hit 20+ mph, that 59-degree air feels a lot more like 48. If you're out near the water, the spray and the wind will soak right through a light hoodie.

  • Sunday morning: Keep the umbrella handy. The 75% rain chance is dominant.
  • Sunday night: Pull out the heavy blankets. A low of 36°F means any plants you bought at the local nursery might need to come inside.
  • Monday morning: It’ll be sunny, but "false spring" sunny. The high is only 55°F.

Decoding the Flagler Beach Weather Forecast for the Week

After the Sunday soak, the sky clears up, but the "cold" (Florida cold, anyway) sticks around for a bit. Monday, January 19, looks beautiful if you like crisp air. We’re talking full sun, 0% chance of rain, and a high of 55°F. It’s actually perfect for a long walk on the cinnamon-colored sands, provided you’ve got a windbreaker.

The wind stays out of the north at 11 mph, keeping things brisk.

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Tuesday and Wednesday start a slow climb back to what people usually expect from the Sunshine State. Tuesday stays in the mid-50s, but by Wednesday, January 21, we jump up to a high of 67°F. It’ll be mostly cloudy, but at least the humidity starts to feel less like a wet blanket and more like a coastal hug.

Looking Toward Next Weekend

If you’re planning a trip for the following weekend, things look much more "beach-friendly."

  1. Friday, Jan 23: High of 69°F, partly sunny.
  2. Saturday, Jan 24: We finally break back into the 70s with a high of 72°F.
  3. Sunday, Jan 25: A solid 73°F with 10 mph winds.

It’s a classic Florida winter cycle. Front comes through, rains out the weekend, drops the mercury for two days, and then we slowly bake back up to perfection.

The Ocean Reality Check

Don't let the air temperature fool you into thinking the water is off-limits for everyone. Right now, the sea temperature around Flagler is hovering near 64°F. For most, that's a "no way" situation. However, for surfers, it’s actually a bit warmer than the 36-degree air we’re about to see on Sunday night.

If you're hitting the waves, a 3/2mm wetsuit is basically mandatory right now. The north winds coming Sunday through Tuesday will create a moderate chop on the intracoastal and rougher conditions out past the breakers.

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What Most People Get Wrong About Flagler Winters

People often compare Flagler Beach to Miami or even Orlando. That’s a mistake. Being right on the Atlantic and further north, we get the brunt of these coastal fronts.

While Miami might stay at 75°F, we can easily drop into the 30s. Honestly, it’s one of the things locals love—the ability to actually wear a scarf twice a year. But if you’re a tourist who only packed shorts, you’re going to be the person at the surf shop buying an overpriced sweatshirt.

Actionable Tips for the Current Forecast

If you are in town or arriving in the next 24 hours, here is how to handle it:

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  • Sunday is a wash: Plan for indoor activities. Go to the library, hit a local cafe, or do some shopping. The 75% rain chance and 21 mph winds make the beach a sand-blasting chamber.
  • Layer up for Monday: The sun will be out, but with a high of 55°F and a north wind, it's deceptive. You'll be warm in the sun and freezing the second you hit the shade.
  • Watch the plants: With lows hitting 36°F Sunday and Monday nights, it's a "bring them in" situation for tropicals.

Basically, enjoy the cozy weather while it lasts. By the end of next week, we'll be back to the 70s, and you'll be complaining about the heat again soon enough.

Your next move: If you're heading out Sunday, check the radar about an hour before you leave. Those northwest winds usually bring the rain in bands, so you might find a 20-minute window to walk the dog between the heavier showers. Otherwise, stay dry and wait for the sun to return on Monday.