Firearms and School Shootings: What the Data Actually Tells Us About the Weapons Used

Firearms and School Shootings: What the Data Actually Tells Us About the Weapons Used

It is a heavy subject. Most people approach the topic of firearms and school shootings with a lot of emotion, and honestly, that makes sense. But if we’re going to look at how these tragedies happen, we have to look at the hardware. We have to talk about the mechanics. What are the weapons actually being used? Where do they come from?

There is a massive gap between what you see in a Hollywood movie and what a crime scene investigator sees after a tragedy at a secondary school. You’ve probably heard people argue that it’s all about "assault weapons." Others swear it’s a mental health crisis and the gun doesn't matter. The truth is usually buried somewhere in the middle of a spreadsheet at the Department of Justice or in a report from the Violence Project.

It’s messy. It's complicated. And if we want to get it right, we have to look at the cold, hard numbers.

The Reality of Weapons Used in School Shootings

When most people think about a school shooter, they picture someone with a long gun. They imagine a tactical rifle. While those get the most media coverage because they are devastatingly efficient, they aren't actually the most common tool found at these scenes.

Handguns. That’s the reality.

According to data from the Violence Project, which maintains one of the most comprehensive databases on mass shootings in the United States, handguns are used in the vast majority of school-based attacks. Specifically, semi-automatic pistols are the most frequent choice. Why? Because they are easy to hide. You can put one in a backpack or under a jacket. They are also incredibly common in American households.

But wait. There’s a distinction we need to make here. While handguns are used more often in quantity, rifles—specifically semi-automatic rifles like the AR-15 or the Sig Sauer MCX—are often the common denominator in the highest-casualty events. Think Uvalde. Think Sandy Hook. Think Parkland. In these instances, the high-capacity magazines and the velocity of the rounds (the .223 or 5.56mm) create a level of trauma that handguns usually don't match.

The physics matter. A handgun round usually travels at subsonic or slightly supersonic speeds. A rifle round moves much faster. When a high-velocity round hits human tissue, it creates a "temporary cavity" that can shatter bone and destroy organs without even touching them. This is why the debate over firearms and school shootings often centers on "assault-style" weapons even though they aren't the most frequently used. The lethality per minute is just higher.

Where Do These Weapons Come From?

This is where the "lone wolf" myth starts to fall apart. In the majority of K-12 school shootings, the shooter didn't go to a gun store and pass a background check.

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They took the gun from home.

Or they took it from a relative.

A study by the U.S. Secret Service National Threat Assessment Center looked at decades of school attacks. They found that in about 75% of cases, the attacker acquired the firearm from their own home or the home of a close friend or relative. In many of those instances, the guns were not "stolen" in the traditional sense; they were simply accessible. They were in an unlocked nightstand or a closet.

There’s a term for this in the policy world: "negligent storage."

For shooters who are of legal age—usually 18 or 21 depending on the state—the path is different. In the cases of the Buffalo supermarket shooting (which, while not a school, fits the mass shooter profile) or the Uvalde tragedy, the shooters waited until their birthdays. They went to a Federal Firearms Licensee (FFL), filled out the Form 4473, and walked out with a weapon.

The Ghost Gun Factor

We can't ignore the tech side of this. "Ghost guns"—unserialized, privately made firearms—are showing up more often. You buy a kit online, you finish the "80% lower receiver" with a drill press or a CNC machine, and suddenly you have a firearm that doesn't officially exist. There's no serial number to track. There's no background check.

In 2022, a shooting at Magruder High School in Maryland involved a ghost gun. It was a 9mm pistol built from a kit. This presents a nightmare for law enforcement because the traditional "trace" done by the ATF (Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives) is impossible. You can't trace a piece of plastic and metal that was finished in a basement.

The "Assault Weapon" Definition Problem

Honestly, the terminology is a disaster. "Assault weapon" isn't a technical ballistic term; it's a legal and political one. If you talk to a ballistics expert, they’ll tell you about "action types."

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Most modern firearms are semi-automatic. One trigger pull, one shot. The gun uses the energy from the fired cartridge to load the next one. This applies to a "scary-looking" AR-15 and a "standard" Glock pistol. They function the same way.

The features that often get a gun labeled as an "assault weapon" are usually ergonomic:

  • Pistol grips
  • Collapsible stocks
  • Threaded barrels
  • Bayonet lugs (which, let’s be real, haven't been relevant in a school shooting basically ever)

But the feature that actually changes the math is the detachable high-capacity magazine. Being able to fire 30 rounds without reloading is what changes a localized threat into a mass casualty event. This is why many states focus their legislation on magazine capacity rather than the shape of the stock. When a shooter has to stop and fumble with a mag change every 10 rounds, it creates "critical gaps." Those gaps are when people run. Those gaps are when bystanders tackle the shooter.

The Role of Shotguns and "Other" Weapons

We shouldn't forget Santa Fe High School in 2018. The shooter there used a Remington 870 pump-action shotgun and a .38 caliber revolver. These are "old school" weapons. They are slower to fire and slower to reload. Yet, ten people died.

It reminds us that while the type of weapon affects the "efficiency" of the violence, the presence of any firearm in a high-tension environment is the primary risk factor. Shotguns are often overlooked in the firearms and school shootings conversation because they aren't "tactical," but at close range—the kind you find in a classroom or a hallway—they are devastating.

Misconceptions About "Fully Automatic" Weapons

Let's clear this up: School shooters are not using machine guns.

Under the National Firearms Act (NFA) of 1934 and the Firearm Owners' Protection Act of 1986, fully automatic weapons are incredibly difficult and expensive to get. You need a special tax stamp, a massive background check that takes months, and usually tens of thousands of dollars.

However, there are "switches."

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The ATF has seen a massive spike in "Glock switches"—small devices, often 3D-printed or imported from overseas, that convert a semi-auto pistol into a fully automatic one. While these haven't been the primary tool in major school massacres yet, they are flooding the streets and appearing in school-adjacent violence and gang-related shootings on campuses. They turn a handgun into a "spray and pray" weapon that is nearly impossible to aim but incredibly lethal in a crowd.

What Research Says About Mitigation

If the problem is the accessibility of firearms and school shootings, what actually works? The data is hit or miss because of the Dickey Amendment, which for years limited federal funding for gun violence research. But we have some clues now.

  1. Red Flag Laws (Extreme Risk Protection Orders): These allow family or police to ask a judge to temporarily remove guns from someone showing "concerning behavior." In many school shooting cases, the shooter posted "manifestos" or told friends what they planned to do. Red flag laws are designed to bridge that gap.
  2. Safe Storage Requirements: If 75% of kids are getting guns from home, locking those guns up is the most logical step. Some states now have "Child Access Prevention" (CAP) laws that hold parents criminally liable if their child gets hold of an unsecured gun.
  3. Raising the Age: There is a lot of debate here. Some argue that if you can't buy a beer, you shouldn't be able to buy a semi-automatic rifle. The data shows that the brain's prefrontal cortex—the part responsible for impulse control—isn't fully developed until the mid-20s. Most school shooters are young males in this developmental window.

Actionable Insights for Safety and Awareness

Understanding the weaponry is only useful if it leads to better prevention. We can't just look at the guns; we have to look at the intersection of the tool and the person.

  • Audit Your Home: If you own firearms, they must be in a rated gun safe. A glass cabinet or a high shelf is not a safe. Use biometric safes for quick access if you keep a gun for self-defense, but ensure the "key" isn't a birthday your child can guess.
  • See Something, Say Something (Seriously): The Secret Service found that in almost every case, the shooter "leaked" their intent. If a student starts talking about specific weapon types, calibers, or "clearing rooms," it’s a red flag. It’s not "tattling"; it’s intervention.
  • Pressure for "Leaked" Information Reporting: Schools need a truly anonymous way for students to report concerns about weapons. Most kids won't talk if they think they'll be outed.
  • Focus on Secure Vestibules: Since handguns are the primary weapon and are easily concealed, "single point of entry" systems with metal detection or AI-based weapon detection software (like Evolv) are becoming the standard. These systems look for the "signature" of a weapon's shape as people walk through at a normal pace.

The conversation about firearms and school shootings is never going to be easy. It's polarized and painful. But by focusing on the reality of what these weapons are—predominantly unsecured household handguns and high-capacity rifles—we can move away from "thoughts and prayers" and toward actual, physical barriers to violence.

Safety isn't a single law or a single lock. It's a layers-of-the-onion approach. You lock the gun, you report the threat, you secure the door, and you watch the data. That’s how you actually protect a classroom.


Next Steps for Implementation:

Check your state’s specific "Child Access Prevention" (CAP) laws to understand your legal liability as a gun owner. If your local school district does not have a "single point of entry" policy or an anonymous tip line like "Say Something," attend the next school board meeting to advocate for these specific, evidence-based security layers. Finally, if you are a parent, ask the parents of your children's friends if they have firearms in the home and how they are secured before a playdate—it’s a socially awkward question that saves lives.