Detroit Red Wings vs NY Islanders: The Playoff Race Nobody Saw Coming

Detroit Red Wings vs NY Islanders: The Playoff Race Nobody Saw Coming

Hockey is a weird, beautiful game. If you told a Red Wings fan back in September that by mid-January 2026, Detroit would be sitting second in the Atlantic Division with 60 points, they’d probably ask what you’re drinking. But here we are. The Detroit Red Wings vs NY Islanders matchup has suddenly morphed from a mid-week "calendar filler" into a high-stakes chess match between two of the East's most surprising overachievers.

Detroit is currently 28-16-4. That’s a massive leap. They haven't tasted the postseason since 2016, and the desperation in the air at Little Caesars Arena is palpable. Meanwhile, Patrick Roy has the Islanders playing a suffocating, "bend-but-don’t-break" style that has them 2nd in the Metropolitan Division.

The Weird Season Series So Far

Honestly, the Islanders have had Detroit's number for most of this season. It started ugly. On October 23, 2025, the Islanders absolutely dismantled the Wings 7-2. Detroit looked slow. They looked old. Even worse, on November 20, Maxim Shabanov—who has been a revelation for New York—poured it on in a 5-0 shutout win at the LCA.

Detroit fans were ready to throw in the towel on that specific matchup. But then December 16 happened.

Alex DeBrincat decided he’d seen enough. He buried two power-play goals in the third period, and Detroit finally eked out a 3-2 win. It wasn't just about the points; it was about proving they could actually beat a team that plays the Isles' heavy, defensive game. It was a statement.

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Why the Red Wings are Actually For Real This Time

For years, the Wings were basically Dylan Larkin and a bunch of "maybe" prospects. That’s changed.

Lucas Raymond is playing like a man possessed, and Moritz Seider is eating 24 minutes a night like it’s a light snack. But the real story? John Gibson. Detroit’s move to bring in the veteran netminder has stabilized a position that was basically a dumpster fire for three years. Gibson is 17-9-1 with a .903 save percentage, which might not look like Prime Hasek numbers, but behind this Detroit defense, it's a godsend.

The Andrew Copp Renaissance

Nobody talked about Andrew Copp as a top-six solution. Like, ever. But with Patrick Kane missing time recently due to injury, Copp has stepped up between DeBrincat and Raymond. He’s got 19 points in his last 21 games. He’s winning 58% of his faceoffs. He’s doing the dirty work that allows the "Cat" to find soft ice.

Then you have the kids. Marco Kasper and Nate Danielson aren't just depth pieces anymore. They are physical. They get under people's skin. In that November 20th game, Kasper even dropped the mitts with Tony DeAngelo. It showed a grit that’s been missing in Motown for a decade.

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The Islanders' Defensive Masterclass

You can’t talk about the Detroit Red Wings vs NY Islanders without mentioning Ilya Sorokin. He is the ultimate equalizer. Even when the Isles get outshot—which happens often—Sorokin is there to bail them out. He’s got six shutouts this year. Six!

The Islanders' roster is an odd mix of aging vets and total wildcards:

  • Bo Horvat: The engine. Even when he’s dealing with lower-body tweaks, he’s their most reliable 200-foot player.
  • Matthew Schaefer: The 18-year-old rookie defenseman. He’s playing third-pair minutes with Scott Mayfield and somehow looks like a 10-year vet.
  • Maxim Shabanov: The Russian winger who seemingly came out of nowhere to lead the team in some of their biggest games against Detroit.

New York's power play is middle-of-the-pack (around 15%), but their penalty kill is a nightmare for opponents. They’ve basically built a wall at the blue line. If you’re Detroit, you can’t play "east-west" hockey against these guys. You have to dump it in and pray you win the race to the end boards.

Key Matchups to Watch

When these two teams meet, the individual battles are where the game is won.

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  1. Moritz Seider vs Mathew Barzal: Barzal is a skating clinic. If Seider can’t gap up on him, Barzal will circle the zone until someone’s ankles break.
  2. Alex DeBrincat vs Adam Pelech: Pelech is arguably the best defensive defenseman in the league that nobody talks about. He’s the "DeBrincat Eraser."
  3. The Coaching Battle: Derek Lalonde vs Patrick Roy. Lalonde wants structure and puck possession. Roy wants fire, passion, and quick transitions.

The Islanders lead the all-time series 64-32, which is kind of wild considering Detroit's history. But recently, it’s been a toss-up.

What This Means for the Standings

We are approaching the March 6 trade deadline. Detroit has about $14 million in cap space. That is a massive weapon. They are linked to every top-six winger on the market because they know this is their window to finally end the drought.

The Islanders are in a different boat. They are tight against the cap and dealing with injuries to guys like Alexander Romanov and Kyle Palmieri. They aren't going to buy big; they just need to survive and let Sorokin carry them.

Actionable Insights for Fans and Bettors

If you're watching the next Detroit Red Wings vs NY Islanders game, keep a few things in mind:

  • The Under is your friend: Historically, 6 of the last 11 meetings have been low-scoring (5 goals or fewer). Both teams prioritize defense when the points matter.
  • Watch the Third Period: Detroit has developed a habit of "third-period surges." They outscored the Isles 3-0 in the final frame back in November 2024 and did it again in December 2025.
  • Special Teams are Decisive: Detroit’s power play has been the only way they’ve consistently cracked the Isles' shell. If the game stays 5-on-5, advantage New York.

The path to the 2026 playoffs for both these teams literally runs through each other. Detroit needs to prove they can beat the "heavy" teams of the Metro, and the Islanders need to show they can keep up with the speed of the Atlantic's rising stars.

Track the injury report specifically for Bo Horvat and Patrick Kane leading into the next matchup. These two teams are so evenly matched that the absence of one top-line player completely tilts the ice. Keep an eye on the waiver wire too; Detroit has the cap room to make a "luxury" claim that could bolster their bottom six before the next meeting at UBS Arena.