New Hampshire weather is famously moody. If you live in Deerfield, you already know the drill: you can wake up to a pristine, frozen landscape and be dodging mud puddles by lunchtime. Right now, as we navigate mid-January 2026, the deerfield nh weather forecast is serving up a classic "New England Special"—a chaotic mix of mild thaws, biting arctic air, and the looming threat of a messy winter storm.
It’s easy to glance at your phone and see a little cloud icon. But for anyone living off Route 107 or heading toward the Fairgrounds, the "feels like" temperature matters way more than the number on the screen.
The Immediate Outlook: A Strange January Thaw
Currently, Deerfield is sitting in a weirdly temperate pocket. Tuesday, January 13, is looking surprisingly manageable with a high of 41°F. That sounds great until you realize the humidity is hovering around 60% and the sky is a flat, relentless gray. It’s damp. It’s the kind of cold that gets under your skin even when the thermometer says it’s above freezing.
Tomorrow, Wednesday, actually steps it up a notch. We’re looking at a high of 47°F. In Deerfield, that usually means the top layer of the driveway starts to turn into that specific New Hampshire grease—a slick, muddy slurry that’s a nightmare for boots and paws alike.
But don't get comfortable. New England loves a bait-and-switch.
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By Thursday, January 15, the bottom drops out. The high might hit 39°F early, but the overnight low is plummeting to a bone-chilling 10°F. This rapid refreeze is the real story for the week. Any standing water from Wednesday's "warm" spell is going to turn into a sheet of black ice by Friday morning.
Why the Deerfield NH Weather Forecast is Hard to Predict
Deerfield sits in a bit of a geographical transition zone. We aren't quite the Seacoast, and we aren't quite the White Mountains. This middle-ground status means we often get caught in the "rain-snow line" during major Nor'easters.
The Terrain Factor
The elevation in town varies enough to matter. If you're up near the Pawtuckaway State Park side, you might see two inches more snow than someone down in the center. It’s frustrating. You call a friend three miles away to ask if they’re shoveling, and they tell you it’s just raining.
Recent Historical Context
Looking back at the last few years, our winters have become increasingly erratic. We’ve seen:
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- The 2023 February Cold Wave: When wind chills hit historic lows, making any outdoor activity in Rockingham County dangerous.
- The December 2023 Flooding: A reminder that "winter" in NH now frequently involves heavy rain on top of melting snow.
- The 2025 "TikTok Melt" Trends: Last year, locals were testing every hack under the sun to deal with the heavy rime ice that coated the town’s power lines.
The 10-Day Breakdown (January 13–22)
If you're planning your week, here is the rough roadmap. Keep in mind, the National Weather Service in Gray, Maine, often has to update these 03037 forecasts every few hours when a clipper system speeds up.
- Tuesday & Wednesday (Jan 13-14): Cloudy and unusually mild. Highs in the 40s. A stray rain shower is possible late Wednesday.
- Thursday (Jan 15): The Transition. We’re expecting intermittent snow as a cold front pushes through. The chance of precipitation is high—about 96%—so expect travel delays.
- Friday (Jan 16): Sunny but brutal. A high of only 25°F. The wind will make it feel much colder.
- The Weekend (Jan 17-18): Saturday looks like the winner for outdoor stuff, with sun and a high of 39°F. Sunday brings the clouds back and a 20% chance of flurries.
- Next Week (Jan 19-22): We settle into a deep freeze. Lows will be in the single digits by Tuesday night (3°F).
Misconceptions About Local Weather
A lot of people think the "Deerfield Center" reading on big weather sites is the absolute truth for the whole town. Honestly, it isn't. The local weather station (KNHDEERF35) provides great hyper-local data, but the "micro-climates" created by our hills and forests mean your backyard is its own ecosystem.
Another big mistake? Ignoring the wind. In the deerfield nh weather forecast, a 15 mph wind from the northwest can turn a "brisk" 25-degree day into a "stay inside and drink tea" day. We’re seeing gusts up to 17 mph projected for next Tuesday, which will make that 23-degree high feel like single digits.
Actionable Tips for This Week
Since we are looking at a major temperature swing followed by a deep freeze, here is how to handle it.
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Watch the Refreeze
On Wednesday night, make sure your gutters are clear. If that 47-degree melt can't drain away, it will freeze in your downspouts on Thursday night, leading to ice dams. Also, salt your walkways before the sun goes down on Thursday.
Vehicle Maintenance
Check your tire pressure. These 30-degree drops in 24 hours cause air to compress, and you’ll likely see your "low tire" light pop on Friday morning. It’s also a good time to ensure your washer fluid is rated for -20°F.
Local Events
If you're heading to any town meetings or school events, keep an eye on the Thursday evening window. The transition from rain/sleet to snow is expected right around the evening commute.
Final Thoughts on the Week Ahead
Deerfield is beautiful in January, but it’s a lot to manage. We’re moving from a muddy "false spring" mid-week into a genuine arctic blast by the weekend. Keep your wood pile covered and your ice scraper handy. The deerfield nh weather forecast rarely stays the same for long, so checking the radar on Thursday morning will be your best bet for staying safe on the roads.
Next Steps for Deerfield Residents:
- Prep your generator: Ensure you have fresh fuel, as Thursday's snow might be the heavy, wet kind that brings down branches.
- Check on neighbors: With lows hitting 3°F early next week, ensure elderly neighbors have sufficient heating oil or wood.
- Monitor the Gray, ME NWS Office: They provide the most granular updates for our specific corner of New Hampshire.