David Samson Believes Tom Brady Will Leave Fox Next Season: Why the 10-Year Deal Is Already Shaky

David Samson Believes Tom Brady Will Leave Fox Next Season: Why the 10-Year Deal Is Already Shaky

Tom Brady is the greatest of all time on the field. Nobody argues that. But in the broadcast booth? That’s where things get messy. Even with a $375 million contract keeping him anchored to a microphone, the rumors of an early exit aren't just whispers anymore. They're becoming loud, specifically coming from people who know how sports front offices actually breathe.

David Samson is one of those people. The former Miami Marlins president isn't exactly known for holding back his thoughts. On a recent episode of The Dan Le Batard Show, Samson didn't just suggest a departure; he basically promised it.

The Raiders Conflict That Nobody Can Ignore

The crux of the issue isn't just Brady’s voice or his "rookie" mistakes as an analyst. It’s the Vegas of it all. David Samson believes Tom Brady will leave Fox next season because you simply cannot run an NFL team and be the lead voice for the network covering that same league. It’s a massive conflict.

Samson was blunt. He called Brady’s dual role an "absolute insult" to professional analysts and team presidents alike.

Think about the logistics. As a minority owner of the Las Vegas Raiders, Brady is deep in the weeds. When the team fired Antonio Pierce, reports swirled that Brady was "heavily involved" in finding the replacement. He’s essentially a shadow GM. Samson’s point is that you end up doing both jobs mediocrely. You can't be in the Raiders' draft room on Tuesday and then pretend to be an objective journalist for a Cowboys-Eagles game on Sunday.

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The NFL knows it. Fox knows it. Something has to give.

Why the $375 Million Contract Might Not Matter

Money is usually the ultimate glue. $37.5 million a year is a lot of incentive to stay put. But Brady isn't exactly hurting for cash. Samson argues that for a guy like Brady, the "chase" is about power and winning, not just a paycheck.

He’s not the only one skeptical of the ten-year timeline. Richard Deitsch from The Athletic also threw some cold water on the long-term prospects of this deal. Deitsch predicted that Brady might not even finish the first half of that contract.

Why? Because the restrictions are a nightmare.

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  • Brady can't attend other teams' practices.
  • He can't go into production meetings where strategy is discussed.
  • He isn't even allowed to criticize officials or other teams too harshly.

Imagine being the "lead analyst" but being banned from the most important parts of the preparation process. It’s like trying to cook a five-course meal with one hand tied behind your back and half the ingredients missing.

Is the Performance Living Up to the Hype?

Honestly, the reviews for Brady’s first season have been... mixed. Some fans love the GOAT's insight. Others find him a bit "bland." There was a moment during a Packers-Vikings game where he seemed to forget a previous matchup result. It happens. But when you're the highest-paid guy in the history of the industry, every stumble is magnified.

Samson’s take is that Brady will eventually choose the Raiders. He’s a competitor. Sitting in a booth talking about other people winning rings is probably eating him alive. Being in the front office in Vegas gives him that "fix" of being back in the game.

What Really Happens Next

If David Samson believes Tom Brady will leave Fox next season, what does that look like for the network? Fox already has Greg Olsen waiting in the wings—a guy many fans actually preferred in the #1 spot.

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If Brady walks, it’s not a failure for him. He’ll just frame it as "focusing on ownership." It’s a clean exit.

For fans watching the broadcast, keep a close eye on the off-season. If you see Brady spending more time in Las Vegas and less time in production meetings for the 2026 season, the writing is on the wall. The transition from the field to the booth is hard. Moving from the booth to the owner's box? That's a move Tom Brady has been telegraphing for years.

If you're following this saga, the first sign of a split will likely be "reduced scheduling" or an "increased role" with Raiders personnel decisions. Keep your alerts on for Raiders front office hires this spring—that's where the real story is hiding.