Could Trump Get Impeached? What Most People Get Wrong About a Third Go

Could Trump Get Impeached? What Most People Get Wrong About a Third Go

Honestly, the word "impeachment" has basically become a permanent part of the American vocabulary at this point. You’ve heard it. I’ve heard it. It feels like every time Donald Trump breathes in the general direction of a camera, someone on the news starts talking about "High Crimes and Misdemeanors." But now that we are deep into 2026, the question could Trump get impeached again isn't just a Twitter meme. It’s a very real, very messy legal conversation happening in the halls of Congress.

If you’re looking for a simple yes or no, you won’t find it. Politics doesn't work that way. Especially not this year.

Right now, we are staring down the 2026 midterms. President Trump is 79, he’s in his second term, and he’s reportedly telling allies at places like the House GOP retreat that if Republicans lose the House, the Democrats will "find a reason" to come after him. He’s not totally wrong about the intent. Democratic Representative Shri Thanedar already introduced H.Res.353 earlier in this session, and Rep. Al Green is basically a permanent fixture on the impeachment beat. They aren't hiding their hand.

The Reality of a Third Impeachment

To understand if this is actually possible, you have to look at the math. It’s always about the math.

The U.S. Constitution is pretty clear about the mechanics, but vague about the "why." Article II, Section 4 says a president can be removed for Treason, Bribery, or those famous "other high Crimes and Misdemeanors." That last part is the giant loophole. It basically means whatever a majority of the House says it means.

If Democrats retake the House in November 2026, they could technically impeach him on Wednesday and have him in a Senate trial by Friday. Well, maybe not that fast, but you get the point. A simple majority—50% plus one—is all it takes to "impeach."

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But here is what most people get wrong: Impeachment is not removal.

Why removal is almost impossible

Trump has been impeached twice. 2019. 2021. He’s still here. Why? Because the Senate is the "High Court of Impeachment." To actually kick a guy out of the White House, you need 67 Senators to agree. That has never happened in American history. Not to Andrew Johnson, not to Bill Clinton, and not to Trump in his first term.

Even if the 2026 midterms are a "blue wave," the chances of Democrats getting a 67-seat supermajority in the Senate are basically zero. It would require a massive number of Republicans to turn on their own leader. Unless something truly cataclysmic happens—something way beyond the current allegations of "usurping appropriations power" or "abuse of trade powers"—that 67-vote bar is a mountain nobody can climb.

The New Allegations on the Table

So, what are they actually saying he did this time?

It’s not just the old 2020 stuff. We’re talking about fresh 2025 and 2026 drama. Senator Chris Murphy from Connecticut has been one of the loudest voices lately. He’s been on NBC saying Trump has committed "ten times more" impeachable offenses in this second term than the first. Murphy’s main gripes? Corruption and what he calls "stealing from the American people."

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Specifically, H.Res.939, which was introduced in December 2025, lays out some pretty wild charges:

  • Obstruction of Justice: Allegations that he’s blocking investigations into his administration’s spending.
  • The "Execution" Comments: This is a big one. In late 2025, Trump allegedly made comments about the "execution" of certain Democratic lawmakers following a video they posted. The House resolution calls this a "reckless and flagrant abuse of power."
  • Intimidating Judges: Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson even weighed in, saying attacks on the judiciary seemed "designed to intimidate."

Is It Just Political Theater?

Kinda.

Look, Brian Kalt, a law professor at Michigan State, has been saying for years that the system is basically set up to protect the president from being removed between elections. The Founders wanted it to be hard. They didn't want a "parliamentary system" where the leader gets fired whenever they lose a popularity contest.

Some Democrats, like former Speaker Nancy Pelosi, have historically been more cautious. They know that if you try to impeach and fail to convict in the Senate, it usually just fires up the President's base. It makes him look like a martyr.

But for others, it's about the record. They want the "Impeached" tag to stay in the history books, even if they know the Senate will acquit.

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What Happens if They Actually Try?

If the House moves forward after the midterms, here is the roadmap:

  1. The Inquiry: The House Judiciary Committee (likely led by a Democrat if the House flips) holds hearings. They subpoena witnesses. The White House fights those subpoenas.
  2. The Vote: The full House votes on "Articles of Impeachment."
  3. The Senate Trial: The Chief Justice of the Supreme Court (John Roberts) comes over to the Senate. House "Managers" act as prosecutors. Trump's lawyers defend him.
  4. The Verdict: The Senate votes.

Even if Trump were to leave office before a trial finished—say, in early 2029—the Senate has already ruled (back in 2021) that they can try a former president. The goal then wouldn't be removal; it would be disqualification. They’d want to vote to make sure he could never hold federal office again.

The Actionable Bottom Line

If you are following the could Trump get impeached saga, don't just watch the headlines. Watch the 2026 midterm polls.

If Republicans keep the House, the impeachment resolutions currently sitting in committees will die a quiet death. If Democrats take the House, expect a summer of hearings in 2027 that will make the previous ones look like a dress rehearsal.

What you can do to stay informed:

  • Track House Resolutions: Keep an eye on the "Status of Legislation" for H.Res.353 and H.Res.939 on Congress.gov. That’s where the real legal language lives.
  • Monitor Senate Seat Projections: Since conviction requires 67 votes, check the "2026 Senate Map." If neither party is close to 67 (which they won't be), any impeachment is almost guaranteed to end in an acquittal.
  • Distinguish "Impeachment" from "Indictment": Remember, the DOJ generally doesn't prosecute sitting presidents. Any criminal trials (like the ones dismissed in late 2024) are usually on ice until he leaves the White House. Impeachment is the only way to hold a sitting president legally accountable in the meantime.

The political temperature is boiling. Whether a third impeachment is "justified" depends entirely on which side of the aisle you sit on, but the constitutional path is there—it's just a very steep, very narrow one.