Chinese aircraft carrier photos: What the grainy satellite shots actually tell us

Chinese aircraft carrier photos: What the grainy satellite shots actually tell us

The internet is obsessed with grainy pixels. If you’ve spent any time on defense forums or Twitter (X) lately, you know exactly what I’m talking about. People lose their minds over every new batch of chinese aircraft carrier photos that leaks from a commercial satellite or a random passenger plane flying over Shanghai. It’s a weird mix of high-stakes intelligence and amateur sleuthing.

Honestly, it’s understandable.

China’s naval expansion isn't just fast; it’s unprecedented. We went from a rusted Soviet hull to the Fujian—a massive, electromagnetic-catapult-towed beast—in what feels like a blink of an eye. But here’s the kicker: most people looking at these photos are missing the real story because they’re too busy counting the planes on the deck.

Why Chinese aircraft carrier photos keep the Pentagon up at night

You’ve probably seen the shots of the Liaoning or the Shandong cutting through the South China Sea. At first glance, they look like standard carriers. But if you zoom in—like, really zoom in—you start to see the nuance.

Take the Fujian (Type 003). For months, the only chinese aircraft carrier photos we had were top-down satellite views from companies like Maxar or Planet Labs. These photos showed three long sheds on the deck. Why? To hide the installation of the Electromagnetic Aircraft Launch System (EMALS). This is the same tech the U.S. uses on the Gerald R. Ford class, and it’s a massive leap over the "ski-jump" ramps on China's older ships.

The ramps are simple. They work. But they limit how much fuel and weapons a jet can carry. If a J-15 "Flying Shark" has to struggle up a ramp, it can’t take off with a full load. That makes the carrier a bit of a paper tiger in a long-range fight.

Then came the photos of the sheds being removed.

Suddenly, the world saw the tracks. No steam. No ramps. Just flat deck and high-tech magnets. That single set of photos confirmed that China had skipped an entire generation of naval technology. They didn't just copy the old stuff; they aimed for the ceiling. It’s terrifying or impressive, depending on which side of the ocean you’re sitting on.

The cat-and-mouse game of "leaked" imagery

There is a huge difference between an official PLA Navy (PLAN) press release and the "leaks" that pop up on Weibo.

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The official shots are gorgeous. They’re high-definition, color-corrected, and usually feature a sunset. They want you to see the power. But the chinese aircraft carrier photos that analysts actually care about are the "illegal" ones. We’re talking about photos taken by passengers on commercial flights departing from Shanghai Pudong International Airport.

Jiangnan Shipyard is right there. If you’re sitting in a window seat on the right side of the plane, you can look down and see the entire future of the Chinese Navy.

The Chinese government knows this. They aren't stupid. Some analysts, like Tom Shugart or H.I. Sutton, have pointed out that the visibility of these ships might be a deliberate form of signaling. By "allowing" these photos to circulate, Beijing shows its progress without having to issue a formal provocative statement. It’s a "look what we have" without saying a word.

Decoding the deck: J-15s, drones, and stealth

When you look at chinese aircraft carrier photos, don't just look at the ship. Look at the shadows.

A few years ago, photos started circulating of a new jet on the deck of the Liaoning. It wasn't the usual J-15. It was smaller, with a twin-nose wheel. That was the first "real world" sighting of the J-35, China's answer to the F-35 lightning II.

The J-35 is a stealth fighter designed specifically for carrier operations. Seeing it in a photo on a deck tells us three things:

  1. The airframe is likely past the prototype stage.
  2. The deck crews are practicing spotting and handling (which is a nightmare, ask any US Navy yellow shirt).
  3. The PLAN is serious about contested airspace.

But it gets weirder. Recent chinese aircraft carrier photos have shown large, boxy drones on the deck of the Shandong. This is something the U.S. is still experimenting with. China seems to be moving fast on "loyal wingman" tech—drones that fly alongside manned jets to soak up missiles or provide extra sensor data.

Seeing a drone in a satellite photo isn't just a "cool find." It’s evidence of a doctrine shift. If they can launch drones from these carriers, they can extend their "scout" range by hundreds of miles. They see you before you see them.

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The "Dry Dock" phenomenon

Construction photos are the most boring to look at but the most important to analyze. When the Type 004 (the rumored nuclear carrier) eventually shows up in chinese aircraft carrier photos, it won't be as a finished ship. It will be as a series of "blocks" in a dry dock.

Modern ships are built like Legos. They build sections in different shops and then weld them together in the dock. By measuring the width of these blocks in satellite imagery, naval architects can estimate the displacement of the ship.

If the photos show a hull wider than 80 meters, we know it’s a supercarrier. If the photos show no intake vents for gas turbines, we know it’s nuclear. Nuclear power is the holy grail because it means the carrier can stay at sea for years (if the crew doesn't lose their minds) and has almost limitless power for lasers or advanced radar.

The limits of what we see

We have to be careful. A photo is a snapshot in time.

I’ve seen people freak out over chinese aircraft carrier photos showing "cracks" on the deck of the Fujian. Social media went wild. "It’s falling apart!" "Chinese steel is junk!"

Actually, it was just water pooling on the deck during construction, or perhaps a protective coating being applied. Professional imagery analysts were much more skeptical, but the "cracked deck" narrative went viral anyway. This is the danger of amateur analysis. We see what we want to see.

Another thing photos can't show? The "soft" stuff.

  • Damage control training.
  • Anti-submarine warfare proficiency.
  • The quality of the pilots.
  • The reliability of the jet engines (a long-time Chinese struggle).

A ship can look perfect in a chinese aircraft carrier photo and still be a disaster in a real combat environment. You can't photograph the "will to fight" or the complexity of a datalink.

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How to track this stuff yourself

If you're a geek for this, you don't need a security clearance. You just need patience and a few bookmarks.

First, follow the "Shipspotters." There are communities on Weibo and Twitter that track the movement of every tugboat in Shanghai. When the tugs start moving, it usually means a "launch" or a "sea trial" is about to happen.

Second, check Google Earth, but realize it's usually months or years out of date. For the real-time stuff, people look at Sentinel-2 data. It’s lower resolution—basically 10-meter pixels—but it’s updated every few days. You won't see a sailor waving, but you’ll see a giant grey blob move from the pier to the ocean. That’s how we knew the Fujian started its first sea trials in early 2024.

Third, watch the shadows. In chinese aircraft carrier photos, the length of the shadow can tell you the height of the island (the command tower). If the island gets smaller in newer designs, it means they are putting more tech inside the hull to reduce the ship’s radar cross-section.


The evolution of these vessels is happening in real-time, right in front of our eyes, one pixelated leak at a time. We’ve gone from a nation with zero carrier experience to a three-carrier navy that is actively testing stealth jets and EMALS in less than two decades. That is a blistering pace.

Next steps for the curious:

  • Compare the footprints: Look at side-by-side chinese aircraft carrier photos of the Shandong and the Fujian. Notice how the deck space on the Fujian is much "cleaner." That extra space allows for more sorties (flights) per hour.
  • Watch the support ships: A carrier never travels alone. If you see photos of Type 055 destroyers (the big ones with the flat masts) near a carrier, you're looking at a "Carrier Strike Group" in training. That’s when a carrier becomes a real threat, not just a floating airfield.
  • Verify the source: If you see a photo claiming to be a "new" carrier, check the island. The Liaoning (16) and Shandong (17) have their numbers painted huge on the bow. If there’s no number and no ramp, you’re looking at the future.

Just remember: in the world of naval intelligence, what isn't in the photo is often more important than what is. If they are hiding something under a tarp, that's exactly where you should be looking.