Chelsea FC vs Crystal Palace: Why the London Derby Is Getting Weird

Chelsea FC vs Crystal Palace: Why the London Derby Is Getting Weird

Football is funny sometimes. You can spend $400 million in a single summer, stack your bench with some of the most expensive teenagers on the planet, and still get held to a stalemate by a bunch of lads from south London who just refuse to blink. That’s basically the story of Chelsea FC vs Crystal Palace lately.

The most recent meeting at Stamford Bridge on August 17, 2025, was a perfect example of this. It finished 0-0. On paper, it sounds like a snooze-fest, right? But if you were there, or watching the highlights on NBC, you know it was actually one of those high-tension tactical chess matches that leaves everyone a bit frustrated.

Chelsea, under Enzo Maresca, came into that game with all the momentum of a runaway freight train after picking up some shiny silverware in the UEFA Conference League and the Club World Cup over the summer. They looked sharp early on. Marc Cucurella—who seems to have a magnet in his hair for corners—nearly opened the scoring in the third minute. His header was goal-bound until Ismaila Sarr pulled off a spectacular goal-line clearance.

The VAR Drama That Saved Chelsea

Honestly, Crystal Palace fans have every right to feel a little bit hard done by. About ten minutes after that Cucurella chance, Eberechi Eze—the man everyone thought was heading to Spurs but stayed to lead the Eagles—thumped a free-kick past Robert Sanchez. The away end went absolutely mental.

Then came the VAR check.

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The goal was chalked off because Marc Guehi was judged to be less than one meter away from the Chelsea wall. It’s one of those niche rules that feels like it was invented just to ruin someone's Saturday. But that’s the Premier League in 2026. Tiny margins.

Chelsea FC vs Crystal Palace: A History of Dominance Fading?

Historically, this has been a very one-sided fixture. Before the recent string of draws, Chelsea had a ridiculous winning streak against Palace—17 games without a loss, including 14 wins. But something has shifted.

Palace have now taken points off Chelsea in back-to-back seasons at Stamford Bridge. They’ve become "compact." That’s the word managers use when a team is basically impossible to break down. Oliver Glasner has them drilled so well that even when Chelsea threw Estevao (the Brazilian wonderkid) and Liam Delap on for their debuts, the breakthrough just wouldn't come.

Estevao looked lively, though. He’s got that "it" factor. He came on in the 54th minute and immediately started demanding the ball, taking players on, and making things happen. He had one massive chance where the ball fell to him after a deflected Cole Palmer cross, but he sent it into the upper tiers.

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The Statistical Reality of the 2025/26 Season

If we look at the numbers for this season, the gap between these two isn't as wide as the wage bills suggest.

  • Chelsea's Form: They've been a bit of a "draw specialist" lately. Before their recent 2-1 loss to Fulham on January 7, 2026, they had consecutive draws against Man City (1-1) and Bournemouth (2-2).
  • Palace's Grit: They are currently sitting 13th, but they've managed 8 clean sheets this season. That’s the same number as Chelsea.
  • Expected Goals (xG): Chelsea averages about $1.77$ xG per 90 minutes, while Palace sits at $1.6$. It's closer than you'd think.

What’s interesting is the player impact. For Chelsea, Pedro Neto has been a monster in terms of progressive carries (73 so far), while for Palace, Jean-Philippe Mateta remains the primary threat. Mateta almost won it in that August clash, but Robert Sanchez produced a sprawling save to keep the clean sheet intact.

The Contrast with the Women's Game

It’s worth noting how differently the two clubs are faring in the women’s game. While the men's Chelsea FC vs Crystal Palace fixture has become a grind, the Chelsea Women’s team is currently operating on a different planet.

Just this morning, January 17, 2026, Sonia Bompastor’s side dismantled Crystal Palace Women 5-0 in the Women's FA Cup. Sam Kerr bagged a brace, and Millie Bright opened the scoring with a thumping header. It was a reminder of the "old" Chelsea—ruthless, efficient, and dominant.

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What to Expect Next

The two sides meet again very soon at Selhurst Park on January 25, 2026. If you’re looking for a betting angle or just trying to figure out how this one goes, keep an eye on the injury reports for Reece James and Malo Gusto. Chelsea’s width depends entirely on those full-backs being fit.

Palace will likely play exactly the same way they did in August: sit deep, wait for Adam Wharton to pick a pass, and hope Eze or Mateta can produce a moment of magic.

Actionable Insights for the Next Match:

  1. Watch the "Wall Rule": After the disallowed goal in August, expect referees to be hyper-vigilant about Palace players crowding the Chelsea defensive wall during set pieces.
  2. Estevao's Evolution: Now that he has half a season under his belt, the Brazilian is much more likely to start. His battle with Tyrick Mitchell will be the key matchup to watch.
  3. The Midfield Slog: Enzo Fernandez and Moises Caicedo have struggled to control the tempo against Palace’s high-energy midfield. If Adam Wharton is given time on the ball, Chelsea are in trouble.

Selhurst Park is always a bear pit for the "Big Six" clubs. With Chelsea's current struggle to turn possession into goals and Palace's newfound defensive solidity, don't be surprised if we see another tight, low-scoring affair. The era of Chelsea walking all over the Eagles seems to be over, at least for now.