Right now, if you step outside in Cheektowaga, you’re feeling exactly why this town is legendary in the winter. It is 11°F. It feels like -2°F. Light snow is falling, and a steady 10 mph wind is coming straight out of the west.
Basically, it's a typical Thursday night in January.
But looking at the Cheektowaga weather 14 day horizon, things aren't just "cold." They’re shifting. We are currently under a Winter Storm Warning that doesn't let up until 7:00 p.m. tonight. If you've lived here long enough, you know that the "14-day forecast" is less of a promise and more of a battle plan.
The Near-Term Chaos (Days 1-5)
Honestly, tomorrow is going to feel like a heat wave compared to tonight. We’re looking at a high of 31°F on Friday, January 16. That’s a 14-degree jump from today’s high of 17°F.
But don't put the shovel away.
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Snow showers are expected all day and all night tomorrow. The wind will shift to come from the south at about 9 mph. Saturday stays in that "milder" pocket with a high of 33°F, but the wind picks up to 15 mph from the southwest.
By Sunday and Monday, the temperature starts to slide back down.
- Sunday: High of 24°F, low of 19°F.
- Monday: High of 21°F, but the wind is the real story—22 mph gusts from the southwest.
That wind on Monday is going to make that 21°F feel incredibly sharp. If you’re commuting near the airport or along the 33, watch for those sudden whiteouts.
The Mid-Range Deep Freeze
Tuesday, January 20, is when the "January Thaw" rumors usually die. The high is only 13°F. The low drops to 7°F.
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It’s going to be one of those days where the air just feels brittle. We’ll see some snow showers, but with a 16 mph wind from the west, the visibility will likely be the bigger headache than the actual accumulation.
Wednesday and Thursday (Jan 21-22) bring a slight recovery into the mid-20s, with more snow showers. It's that relentless lake-effect cycle. The humidity stays high—around 71%—which is why the cold here feels like it gets into your bones. It’s a "wet" cold that dry-climate people just don't understand.
Looking Toward the End of the Month
Friday, January 23, looks like a weird outlier. We’re currently projected for a high of 36°F.
That is actually above freezing!
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The humidity drops significantly to 47%, which is a massive break from the 80%+ levels we’re seeing now. However, don't get too comfortable. By Sunday, January 25, the bottom falls out again. We’re talking about a high of 13°F and a projected low of -6°F.
Yes, -6°F.
That’s the kind of temperature where you need to worry about your pipes and your car battery.
What the Data Actually Tells Us
Most people look at a 14-day outlook and see a list of icons. But for Cheektowaga, you have to read between the lines. The west and southwest winds (averaging 10-22 mph over the next two weeks) are the primary drivers for lake-effect bands.
When the wind is from the southwest, the snow often aims for the Northtowns or the city. When it shifts due west, Cheektowaga is right in the crosshairs.
Actionable Survival Steps for the Next 14 Days
- Battery Check: With a -6°F night coming on the 25th, if your car battery is more than three years old, get it tested this weekend while it's "warm" (33°F).
- Wind Management: Monday the 19th will have the highest sustained winds (22 mph). Secure any loose yard items or holiday decorations that are still hanging on.
- Salt Strategy: Since temperatures will hover between 13°F and 33°F, standard rock salt will work most days. However, for those 13°F days (Jan 20 and 25), you’ll need calcium chloride or a specialized cold-weather melt, as rock salt loses effectiveness below 15°F.
- Travel Window: If you have errands that require clear roads, Friday afternoon (Jan 16) and Saturday morning (Jan 17) look like the most stable windows before the wind and deep cold return.
Keep an eye on the sky and your gas tank full. This stretch of January is going to be a marathon, not a sprint.