If you’ve lived in North Texas for more than five minutes, you know the drill. You wake up in a parka and by lunch you're hunting for short sleeves. Right now, the Carrollton Texas weather forecast is putting on a classic performance of "Winter in the Metroplex."
Today, Thursday, January 15, 2026, we’re looking at a pretty stunning afternoon with highs near 60°F. It’s sunny. The wind is coming out of the southwest at about 10 to 15 mph, which honestly feels great after the chilly 34°F start we had this morning.
But don't get too comfortable.
Texas weather has zero chill—pun intended. By tonight, it’ll dip back down to 45°F. Tomorrow, Friday, we might hit 61°F, but a dry cold front is barreling toward us. That means Saturday is going to feel like a completely different season with a high of only 44°F and a low of 29°F.
Welcome to January.
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The January Rollercoaster in 75006 and 75007
Most people think Texas is just "hot." That’s a total myth. January is actually the coldest month for Carrollton, with average lows sitting right around 39°F. We’ve already seen a weirdly warm start to 2026, with some New Year’s days hitting the mid-70s, but the "real" winter usually tries to show up right about now.
Humidity is hovering near 70% this morning, which makes that 34°F feel a lot more biting.
What to expect for the rest of the week:
- Friday, Jan 16: Mostly sunny, high of 61°F. Winds kick up to 25 mph. Secure your trash cans.
- Saturday, Jan 17: The "crash." High of 44°F. It’ll be cloudy, and honestly, pretty gloomy.
- Sunday, Jan 18: Crisp and clear. High 57°F, low 28°F. Classic "layered clothing" weather.
Why Does Carrollton Weather Flip So Fast?
We are basically sitting in a giant bowling alley. To the north, you’ve got the Great Plains, which act like a highway for cold Canadian air. To the south, the Gulf of Mexico is constantly pumping in warm, moist air.
When those two meet over Carrollton? Chaos.
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That’s why we get those massive temperature swings. It’s also why our "rainy season" is so weird. While May is technically our wettest month (averaging about 4.76 inches), January usually only sees about 2.5 inches. But that precipitation can come as rain, sleet, or—if the stars align and the traffic on I-35 is particularly bad—a dusting of snow.
Surviving the "Ice Days"
We don't get much snow here. We get ice. There’s a huge difference.
A 2026 forecast doesn't currently show a major "Ice-pocalypse," but local experts from the National Weather Service in Fort Worth are already holding severe weather education classes this month. They know what's coming in the spring.
If you're new to the area, the city of Carrollton uses an alert system called CarrolltonAlert. You should probably sign up. It’s the fastest way to know if a "Blue Norther" is about to drop the temperature 30 degrees in an hour or if there’s a flash flood warning for those low-lying areas near Josey Ranch Lake.
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Quick Winter Maintenance for Locals
- Drip those faucets: If the forecast says it’s dropping below 28°F for more than a few hours, just do it.
- Cover the spigots: Those foam covers at the hardware store are cheap insurance.
- Check your tires: Cold air makes tire pressure drop. If your "low tire" light is on this morning, that's why.
- Watch the wind: We’re expecting 25 mph gusts on Friday. Anything light on your patio will end up in your neighbor's yard.
The Spring Outlook
Looking ahead, the weather typically stays erratic through February. February is actually our cloudiest month, with overcast skies about 45% of the time. If you’re prone to the winter blues, just remember that March brings the sun back—along with the thunderstorms.
The "comfort zone" for Carrollton is usually April and October. Those are the months where the Carrollton Texas weather forecast finally settles into those 70-degree days that make us forget about the 100-degree August heat.
Speaking of heat, the record high for Carrollton is a blistering 112°F. We are nowhere near that right now, so enjoy the 60s while they last today.
Actionable Steps for This Weekend
Don't let the sunny Thursday fool you into thinking winter is over.
- Audit your emergency kit: Make sure you have extra blankets and a portable charger. The Texas grid has improved, but ice storms and high winds still cause local line breaks.
- Plan your Saturday indoors: With a high of 44°F and biting northwest winds, it's a perfect day for a movie at home or visiting the Josey Ranch Lake Library.
- Check Oncor's status: If your power flickers, don't wait. Report it by texting "OUT" to 66267.
- Protect your plants: If you have sensitive outdoor plants, get them inside or covered by Friday night. That 28°F Sunday morning low will kill anything tropical.
Stay warm, keep your layers handy, and always check the radar before heading out on the Bush Turnpike.