Canelo Alvarez vs Dmitry Bivol: Why the Rematch Never Happened

Canelo Alvarez vs Dmitry Bivol: Why the Rematch Never Happened

In May 2022, the boxing world stood still. Most fans at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas expected a routine night for Saul "Canelo" Alvarez. He was the pound-for-pound king. He was moving up to 175 pounds to snatch another belt, a trick he’d performed before against Sergey Kovalev. But Dmitry Bivol didn't read the script.

Bivol was different. He wasn't old, he wasn't washed, and he certainly wasn't intimidated by the "Canelo" aura. Over twelve rounds, the Russian champion put on a masterclass of distance, discipline, and basic geometry. It wasn't a "lucky" win. It was a systematic dismantling. Honestly, it changed the trajectory of Canelo's career forever.

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What Really Happened That Night in Vegas

If you look at the scorecards, it looks close. All three judges turned in 115-113 cards. That's essentially a one-round difference. But if you actually watched Canelo Alvarez vs Dmitry Bivol, you know those scores were, well, generous to the Mexican superstar. Most ringside observers had it 8-4 or even 9-3 for Bivol.

Canelo's strategy was weirdly predictable. He spent the first few rounds trying to "break" Bivol’s arm. Seriously. He kept slamming heavy hooks into Bivol's bicep and shoulder, a tactic that worked against Callum Smith. He thought he could deaden Bivol's lead hand. It didn't work. Bivol just kept his high guard tight and fired back with stiff, piston-like 1-2 combinations.

The stats tell a grim story for Canelo fans.
He landed a career-low 84 punches.
Against 152 for Bivol.
That's nearly double.
Bivol outlanded him in every single round.

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Canelo looked tired by the middle rounds. The extra weight at light heavyweight seemed to sap his explosive movement. He became a stationary target, waiting for one big counter-punch that never landed flush. Bivol was just too disciplined to get caught in a brawl.

The Myth of the Rematch

After the fight, everyone talked about the rematch clause. Canelo said it immediately in the ring: "This doesn't end here." But as we sit here in 2026, that second fight is the biggest "ghost" in modern boxing.

Why didn't it happen? Money is the easy answer, but it's more complicated than that.

Bivol wanted the rematch at 168 pounds. He wanted Canelo’s undisputed super middleweight titles. He figured if he beat him once, he might as well take everything. Canelo, on the other hand, insisted the rematch happen at 175. He wanted to prove he could win under the same conditions as the first loss. Pride is a hell of a drug in this sport.

While they bickered over weight and percentages, the world moved on. Canelo went back to 168 and defended his belts against John Ryder, Jaime Munguia, and Jermell Charlo. Bivol eventually went on to his own massive undisputed clash with Artur Beterbiev. By the time the dust settled, the window had basically closed.

Why Canelo Struggled with Bivol's Style

  • The Jab: Bivol has arguably the best "educated" jab in the game. It’s not just a point-scorer; it’s a range-finder that kept Canelo from getting inside.
  • Footwork: Canelo loves a stationary target. Bivol never stayed in one spot for more than a second.
  • Size vs. Skill: It wasn't just that Bivol was bigger. It was that he knew how to use that size without sacrificing speed.
  • The High Guard: Bivol’s amateur background (268-15 record!) showed. His defense was technically perfect, leaving almost no openings for Canelo’s signature uppercuts.

Looking Back from 2026

The landscape is different now. Canelo is 35. He’s recently dealt with elbow surgery and a tough loss to Terence Crawford in late 2025. He’s still the biggest draw in the sport, but the "invincibility" he had before the Bivol fight is gone.

Dmitry Bivol, meanwhile, solidified himself as a legend. By defeating both Canelo and Beterbiev, he became the only man in the four-belt era to beat two reigning undisputed champions. He proved that sometimes, pure boxing fundamentals beat superstar power.

Some people still claim Canelo was "injured" or "overtrained" for the first fight. Maybe. But styles make fights, and Bivol's style is basically a nightmare for Canelo. Short, explosive counter-punchers usually struggle against tall, mobile jabbers with high defensive IQs.

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What This Means for Boxing Fans Today

If you're still holding out hope for Canelo Alvarez vs Dmitry Bivol 2, you might be waiting a long time. Canelo is currently focused on his new venture, "Canelo Promotions," and a planned "Mexico vs. The World" card in Saudi Arabia for September 2026. Bivol is looking at younger challengers like David Benavidez or Hamzah Sheeraz.

The lesson here is simple. In boxing, "undisputed" doesn't mean "unbeatable." Even the greats have a kryptonite. For Canelo, that kryptonite was a stoic Russian with a relentless 1-2 and better footwork.

If you want to understand the modern era of the sport, you have to study that first fight. It wasn't just a win for Bivol; it was a blueprint on how to beat a living legend.

Actionable Next Steps for Boxing Enthusiasts:

  1. Rewatch the Tape: Watch rounds 5 through 8 of the original fight. Notice how Bivol uses his lead foot to trap Canelo against the ropes without actually throwing a punch.
  2. Monitor the 175-lb Division: Keep an eye on the upcoming Riyadh Season cards. With Bivol and Benavidez both hovering near the top, the light heavyweight division is currently more exciting than the heavyweights.
  3. Check Canelo's September Opponent: As soon as the "surprise" opponent for Canelo’s September 12th return is announced, look for their reach and jab statistics. If they mirror Bivol’s physical profile, we’ll see if Canelo has truly learned how to adjust his style.