Canadian Dollar to Won: Why the Exchange Rate is Shifting Right Now

Canadian Dollar to Won: Why the Exchange Rate is Shifting Right Now

Money moves fast. If you've been watching the Canadian dollar to won lately, you already know the vibe has shifted. It’s not just about numbers on a screen. It’s about two very different economies—one grappling with North American trade friction and the other riding a high-tech export wave—trying to find a balance.

As of mid-January 2026, the rate is hovering around 1,057 KRW per 1 CAD. That’s a decent jump from where things stood this time last year when we were seeing rates closer to the 1,015 mark. But why is the "Loonie" suddenly feeling more expensive for those in Seoul, or more valuable for Canadians heading to Myeong-dong?

The Great Rate Divergence

Honestly, it comes down to what the big banks are doing. In Ottawa, the Bank of Canada (BoC) basically hit the brakes. After a flurry of activity in 2025, Governor Tiff Macklem kept the policy rate steady at 2.25% in December. The market is split. Some think they’ll have to hike again because inflation is being stubborn, while others are whispering about more cuts.

Meanwhile, the Bank of Korea (BoK) is playing a totally different game. They’ve held their base rate at 2.50% for five meetings straight. They’re worried about the won getting too weak. If the won slides too far, everything South Korea imports—from oil to beef—gets way too pricey. So, they’re keeping things tight to protect the currency.

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  • Canada's Stance: Watching the U.S. closely while trying to manage a "sluggish" job market.
  • South Korea's Stance: Prioritizing currency stability over boosting growth.
  • The Result: A tug-of-war that keeps the Canadian dollar to won rate in a state of constant flux.

What’s Actually Driving the Price?

You can't talk about the Canadian dollar without talking about trade. The U.S. has been throwing around tariffs like confetti lately, affecting Canada and Mexico significantly. This trade "shock" has slowed Canada's growth. When people get nervous about Canada's ability to sell stuff to its biggest neighbor, the Loonie usually takes a hit.

But here’s the weird part: despite the trade drama, the CAD has actually strengthened against the KRW over the last few months. Why? Because South Korea has its own set of headaches. Even with a "super-cycle" in semiconductors and AI demand, the won has been one of the weakest performers in Asia this year. Retail investors in Korea are dumping won to buy U.S. tech stocks. That massive capital outflow leaves the won vulnerable, even if the underlying economy is technically growing at a healthy 1.9% or 2.0%.

Commodities vs. Chips

Canada is essentially a giant vending machine for the world. Oil, gold, and wheat. When commodity prices are high, the CAD thrives. South Korea, on the other hand, is the world's factory for the future. Semiconductors and electric vehicle batteries.

If the global "AI spending wave" continues, the won might find some solid ground. But right now, the sheer amount of money leaving Korea for Western markets is acting like a heavy weight on the won's neck.

Is Now a Good Time to Exchange?

Timing the market is a fool's errand. Seriously. But we can look at the trends. We saw the Canadian dollar to won hit a peak of roughly 1,069 KRW back in December 2025. Since then, it’s pulled back slightly.

If you’re a student heading to Seoul or a business importing Korean tech, you’re looking for those dips below 1,040. They haven't been common lately. Morgan Stanley and RBC both suggest that while the U.S. dollar might weaken soon, the "cross-rate" between Canada and Korea is going to stay messy because both countries are facing their own unique versions of trade uncertainty.

Expert Note: Don't forget the "Carney Factor." With Prime Minister Mark Carney's recent budget focusing on infrastructure and defense, there’s a hope that Canada’s productivity might finally wake up. If that happens, the CAD could see a more sustained rally.

Things to Watch This Month

There are a few "flashpoints" that could send the Canadian dollar to won rate spiraling in either direction. Keep an eye on the upcoming BoK meeting. If they even hint at a rate cut to help out the property market, the won will likely tank further, making the CAD even more expensive.

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On the flip side, watch the unemployment numbers in Canada. If they stay around the 6.7% to 7% range, the Bank of Canada might be forced to cut rates to keep the economy from stalling. That would likely bring the Loonie back down to earth, giving won-holders a bit of relief.

Practical Steps for Managing Your Money

Stop checking the rate every five minutes. It’ll drive you crazy. Instead, think about your actual needs.

If you have a large transaction coming up—like paying tuition or a business invoice—consider a "forward contract" through a currency broker. This lets you lock in today's rate for a future date. It's a bit like insurance against the rate jumping to 1,100 while you're sleeping.

Also, look at the fees. Banks usually take a 3% to 5% cut on the spread. Use a dedicated FX platform like Wise or Remitly if you’re moving smaller amounts; the savings on the Canadian dollar to won conversion can be enough for a few nice dinners in Toronto or Seoul.

Check the current "mid-market" rate on a site like Reuters or Bloomberg before you hit 'send' on any transfer. If the gap between the official rate and what your bank is offering is more than 20 won, you're getting fleeced. Look for providers that offer transparent, real-time pricing to ensure you aren't paying a "hidden" tax on your own money.

Monitor the next Bank of Canada policy announcement scheduled for late January. If they maintain the pause as expected, the CAD may remain stable, but any surprise hawkishness—talking about future hikes—could trigger a sharp spike against the won.