Buffalo just finished a 12-5 regular season that felt a lot more like a rollercoaster than the record suggests. Honestly, if you look at the buffalo bills stats today, you’ll see a team that is technically "second" in the AFC East behind the Patriots, but they are playing some of the most dominant, record-breaking football we've seen in the Highmark era.
It’s weird. You’ve got people saying the "window is closing" every off-season, and then Josh Allen goes out and puts up 40 total touchdowns like it's a Sunday morning walkthrough.
Let's get into the weeds of what’s actually happening on the field right now. This isn't just about winning games; it’s about how they’re doing it. The Bills finished the 2025-2026 regular season with the number one rushing offense in the league. Yeah, you read that right. The team that used to live and die by the deep ball is now grinding teams into the dirt with 2,714 total rushing yards.
The Josh Allen Statistical Paradox
Most quarterbacks have a "style." They’re either pocket passers or they’re scramblers. Josh Allen basically said "no thanks" to both categories and decided to be everything at once. In the 17 games leading into this January, Allen threw for 3,668 yards with 25 touchdowns through the air. That’s solid. It's top-tier.
But then you look at the ground game. He rushed for 14 touchdowns himself.
When you add that to James Cook’s breakout year—the guy had 1,621 rushing yards and averaged over 5 yards a carry—you realize the Bills' offense is a nightmare to coordinate against. You can't just "dare them to run" anymore because they’ll actually do it and pick up a first down every single time.
Key Offensive Metrics for 2025-2026
Looking at the raw totals, the Bills put up 481 points this season. That averages out to about 28.3 points per game, which is 4th in the entire NFL. They aren't just efficient; they are explosive. Khalil Shakir has quietly become the most reliable target in the room with 719 receiving yards, while Dalton Kincaid is turning into that safety valve every elite QB needs, hauling in 5 touchdowns.
It’s worth noting that the turnover ratio stayed at a +1. It's not perfect. Allen still had 10 interceptions, which is actually a massive improvement from previous years where he’d occasionally try to throw the ball through a brick wall. The "hero ball" is still there, but it's more calculated now.
A Defense That Won’t Move
People talk about the offense constantly, but the buffalo bills stats today show a defensive unit that is arguably more impressive because of who they’ve lost over the last two years. They finished the season with the #1 ranked pass defense in the NFL. They only allowed 156.9 passing yards per game. In a league that is obsessed with throwing the ball, holding opponents to under 160 yards is basically sorcery.
Bobby Babich, the defensive coordinator, has these guys playing a very specific brand of "bend but don't break" that actually doesn't even bend that much.
Greg Rousseau has turned into a legitimate monster on the edge with 7 sacks, and Joey Bosa—the big-name addition—added 5 more. But the real story is in the secondary. Cole Bishop, the young safety, led the team with 85 tackles and 3 interceptions. He’s all over the place. Honestly, watching him and Christian Benford (who had 2 picks himself) is like watching two guys who know the opponent's playbook better than the opponent does.
Defensive Efficiency Breakdown
While they were 12th in points allowed (21.5 per game), their yardage rankings tell a different story. They were 7th in total yards allowed. The discrepancy usually comes from some of the short fields the offense gave up earlier in the season, but by December, this unit was a vault. In Week 18 against the Jets, they only gave up 8 points.
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What the Stats Don’t Tell You About the Postseason
Numbers are great for bar debates, but they don't capture the "clutch" factor. In the Wild Card win against the Jaguars (27-24), Allen’s completion percentage was a staggering 80%. He went 28 for 35. That is an elite level of efficiency that usually signals a deep playoff run.
The Bills are currently heading into a Divisional matchup where their rushing stats will be the deciding factor. Since they rank 1st in rushing touchdowns (30) and total rushing yards, they can control the clock in a way the old Bills teams couldn't.
Actionable Insights for the Divisional Round
If you're tracking these numbers for betting or just to be the smartest person at the watch party, keep an eye on these three specific trends:
- Third Down Conversions: The Bills are converting at a 45% clip (3rd in the league). If they stay above 40%, they don't lose.
- Red Zone Efficiency: They score a touchdown 67% of the time they get inside the 20. That's 2nd in the NFL. If they settle for field goals, they're in trouble.
- James Cook's Usage: When Cook gets more than 18 carries, the Bills are nearly undefeated this season. The stats show that a balanced Buffalo is a winning Buffalo.
The reality is that the Buffalo Bills are no longer a "pass-first, figure out the rest later" team. They are a physical, run-heavy juggernaut with a quarterback who can still throw it 70 yards if he needs to. That is a terrifying combination for the rest of the AFC.
Keep an eye on the injury report for Matt Milano and Terrel Bernard. While the stats look great, the depth at linebacker has been tested. If those two are 100%, this defense becomes significantly harder to exploit in the middle of the field.