Bristol Rovers vs Stockport County: Why the Hatters Are No Longer the Underdogs

Bristol Rovers vs Stockport County: Why the Hatters Are No Longer the Underdogs

Football isn't always fair, but it's usually loud. If you were anywhere near the Memorial Stadium last February, you heard exactly what that meant. A 91st-minute equalizer from a debutant defender named Sil Swinkels turned what looked like a routine Stockport win into a chaotic 1-1 draw. It’s those moments—the ones where tactical plans get thrown out the window for a bit of old-fashioned "get the ball in the mixer"—that define the Bristol Rovers vs Stockport County rivalry in this current League One era.

Honestly, looking at the table right now, there is a massive gulf in where these two clubs are headed. Stockport is sitting pretty in 4th, breathing down the necks of Wrexham and Bradford City. Meanwhile, the "Gas" are fighting a different kind of war. They’ve recently brought in Steve Evans, a man who knows every dark art of the EFL, to stop the rot and keep them away from the drop zone.

The Managerial Tug-of-War

It’s a weird contrast. Dave Challinor has been at the helm of Stockport County since 2021, building a culture that basically reeks of "inevitable promotion." He’s stable. He’s methodical. He’s got them playing a 3-5-2 or 3-4-1-2 that stretches teams until they snap.

Then you’ve got Steve Evans at Bristol Rovers. He only took over in mid-December 2025, and you can already see the "Evans-ification" happening. The football is more direct, the players look like they’ve spent more time in the gym, and the touchline theatrics have gone up by roughly 400%. He’s trying to build a fortress at the Mem, but he’s doing it while having to integrate brand-new signings like Riley Harbottle from Wimbledon and Kane Thompson-Sommers from MK Dons.

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Evans has gone on record saying Colchester will be a "tough game," but everyone knows his eyes are on the big fish like Stockport. He needs results to prove the club made the right call in ditching the previous regime for his "results-first" philosophy.

Why Stockport is a Nightmare to Play Right Now

If you're a Rovers fan, you're probably sick of hearing about how good the Hatters' recruitment is. But look at their January business. They just went out and grabbed Josh Dacres-Cogley from Bolton. A guy with over 100 appearances for a promotion rival, a "Team of the Season" player, and they basically snatched him up to bolster an already scary right flank.

Stockport doesn't just beat you with skill; they beat you with depth.

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  • Ollie Norwood is still pulling the strings in midfield like he’s playing a video game on easy mode.
  • Kyle Wootton and Isaac Olaofe have a strike partnership that feels telepathic.
  • Their bench usually has two or three players who would start for almost any other team in the bottom half of the league.

When these two met in a pre-season friendly back in July 2025 over in Spain, it ended 3-2 to Stockport. It was a "thriller" by all accounts, but it showed a recurring theme: Rovers can score, but they can't always hold a lead against a team that has this much collective experience. Che Gardner bagged the winner in the 89th minute of that one. Notice a pattern? Stockport loves a late goal, and Rovers historically struggle to close the door.

The Tactical Battlefield at the Memorial Stadium

When Bristol Rovers vs Stockport County kicks off, expect a clash of styles that is anything but pretty. Evans wants his team to be "horrible" to play against. He’ll likely deploy Harbottle immediately to add some steel to a backline that has looked a bit fragile this winter.

Stockport, on the other hand, will try to dominate the ball. In their last competitive meeting, they had nearly 60% of the possession. They use wing-backs like Ibou Touray to provide the width, allowing the likes of Will Collar to ghost into the box unmarked. It's a high-energy system that requires the opposition to be switched on for the full 90 minutes—something Rovers have struggled with, as evidenced by that 91st-minute scramble last season where they were actually the ones benefiting from a lapse in concentration.

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Recent Form and the "New Manager Bounce"

Rovers are currently in that weird "limbo" phase. You see flashes of what Evans wants—hard work, high pressing—but the consistency isn't there yet. They recently signed Thompson-Sommers on loan because they needed a "wand of a left foot" in the middle of the park.

Stockport is the complete opposite. They are a well-oiled machine. They’ve won four of their last six, and even when they don't play well, they seem to find a way to grind out a 1-0 win. That's the hallmark of a team that's going up.

Key Players to Watch

  1. Josh Dacres-Cogley (Stockport): If he makes his debut, watch his overlapping runs. He’s technically a defender, but he spends half the game in the opponent's final third.
  2. Luke Thomas (Bristol Rovers): The most creative spark for the Gas. If Rovers are going to get anything out of a game against the Hatters, it usually starts with Thomas making something happen on the break.
  3. Ollie Norwood (Stockport): You cannot give him space on the edge of the box. His free-kick goal in the Spain friendly was a reminder that class is permanent.
  4. Jed Ward (Bristol Rovers): The young keeper has been under fire, but he’s also made some "worldie" saves to keep Rovers in games. He’ll likely be the busiest man on the pitch.

What History Tells Us

The head-to-head stats are starting to lean heavily toward the Greater Manchester side. Out of the last few encounters, Stockport has managed to stay unbeaten in the majority. However, the Memorial Stadium is a leveling factor. It’s tight, the fans are right on top of you, and it’s the kind of environment where a Steve Evans team can thrive on being the "unpopular" underdog.

Most people get it wrong by thinking this is just another mid-table vs top-table clash. It’s deeper. It’s about Rovers trying to find an identity under a polarizing manager versus Stockport trying to prove they belong in the Championship.

If you're looking for an actionable way to follow this rivalry or prepare for the next match, start by tracking the "expected goals" (xG) stats of Rovers' new signings. Evans is betting big on Harbottle and Thompson-Sommers to tighten the defense and provide better service. If their xG conceded starts dropping over the next three games, they might actually have a chance to upset the Hatters' promotion party. Keep an eye on the late-match substitutions too; Challinor usually holds back one "game-changer" for the final 15 minutes, which is exactly when Rovers' concentration tends to dip.