Brandon Moreno is a weird case in the UFC. Honestly, if you just look at his record on paper, you might think he's just another high-level flyweight who hits a wall against the elite. But the paper is lying to you. To understand brandon moreno ufc stats, you have to look at the caliber of human beings he has been locked in a cage with for the last five years.
He doesn't do "tune-up" fights. He hasn't for a long time.
Since 2020, Moreno has basically lived in the top five of the 125-pound division. He’s the first Mexican-born champion in the promotion's history, and his statistical profile reflects a guy who is constantly evolving, even when the results don't go his way. It’s a mix of insane durability, high-volume boxing, and a submission game that is way more dangerous than people give him credit for.
The Raw Numbers: Brandon Moreno UFC Stats and Recent Form
As we sit here in early 2026, Moreno’s professional record stands at 21-9-2. Now, I know what you’re thinking. Nine losses? That seems high for a "king." But wait. Look closer at who those losses are against. Most of them are razor-thin split decisions against guys like Alexandre Pantoja and Brandon Royval—fights that could have gone either way if the judges had a different breakfast that morning.
In his most recent outing in December 2025 at UFC 323, Moreno hit a snag against the rising star Tatsuro Taira, losing via TKO in the second round. It was a shocker. Before that, though, he was on a bit of a tear in his "redemption" era. He absolutely dismantled Steve Erceg in March 2025 and put on a clinic against Amir Albazi in late 2024.
His striking volume is where the brandon moreno ufc stats really start to pop.
He lands about 3.89 significant strikes per minute.
That might not sound like Max Holloway numbers, but for a flyweight who also grapples, it's high.
His accuracy sits around 44%, and he’s remarkably good at not getting hit, boasting a 60% striking defense.
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A Quick Breakdown of the Methods
Moreno is a finisher. He doesn't like leaving it to the guys in suits ringside.
- Submissions: He has 11 career wins by sub. His rear-naked choke is legendary.
- Knockouts: 5 wins. He’s got sneaky power, especially that head kick that folded Kai Kara-France.
- Decisions: 5 wins. When it goes long, he usually has the cardio to keep up, even if the judges' scorecards are a coin toss.
The "Assassin Baby" Grappling Game
People forget Moreno started as a pure jiu-jitsu guy. On The Ultimate Fighter, he was the lowest-seeded fighter because people thought he was just a grappler. Fast forward to his UFC career, and he’s landing 1.47 takedowns per 15 minutes.
His takedown accuracy is 44%. It's not elite wrestling, but it's "MMA wrestling"—he uses it to clinch, wear you out, and find the back. Once he gets the back? It’s usually over. Ask Deiveson Figueiredo about that night in 2021 when Moreno became the first Mexican champion. One mistake, one transition, and the choke was locked in.
What’s even more impressive is his 64% takedown defense. In a division full of fast-paced scramblers, being able to stay on your feet 64% of the time is massive. It allows him to use that "Mexican style" boxing he’s developed over the years.
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Why the Rivalries Distort the Stats
If you want to talk about brandon moreno ufc stats, you have to talk about the "Quadrilogy." Moreno fought Deiveson Figueiredo four times. Four. That is essentially two hours of combat against the same terrifying human being.
If you take those four fights out, his stats look completely different.
Those fights were wars of attrition.
They lowered his "strikes absorbed" metrics because Figueiredo hits like a truck.
They also skewed his win percentage.
But they proved he belongs at the absolute top of the food chain.
Then you have Alexandre Pantoja. Moreno has a "Pantoja problem." He's lost to him three times (including the exhibition on TUF). If Pantoja didn't exist, Moreno would probably be a multi-time defending champion with a much shinier record. But that’s the game. You don't get to pick your rivals.
What's Next for the Assassin Baby?
Honestly, Moreno is at a crossroads in 2026. He's scheduled to face Asu Almabayev in February 2026 in Mexico City. This is a classic "gatekeeper of the elite" vs. "hungry contender" matchup. If Moreno wins, he’s right back in the title conversation. If he loses, he might be looking at a permanent spot in the top 10 as a high-level veteran.
His age is a factor now. He’s 32. In flyweight years, that’s getting up there. The speed usually goes first in the smaller divisions. However, Moreno’s game has always been built on heart and durable technical boxing, which tends to age a bit better than pure athleticism.
Actionable Insights for Following Moreno's Career:
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- Watch the Strike Differential: In his wins, Moreno almost always out-lands his opponents by a 2-to-1 margin in the later rounds. If he’s not doing that by Round 3, he’s in trouble.
- Check the Takedown Attempts: Moreno is most dangerous when he’s mixing it up. If he’s just standing and trading, he’s vulnerable to the bigger hitters in the division.
- Live Betting Value: Moreno is a notorious "slow starter." He often loses the first round and then takes over. If you see him drop Round 1, the odds for a comeback win usually get very interesting.
The stats tell a story of a guy who has seen it all. From being cut by the UFC in 2018 to winning the belt in 2021, and now fighting to stay relevant in 2026. He’s a survivor.
Keep an eye on the brandon moreno ufc stats during the Almabayev fight. If his striking accuracy stays above 40% and he stuffs those early takedowns, the "Assassin Baby" might just have one more title run left in him. He’s proven everyone wrong before; it would be a mistake to bet against him doing it again.
To stay ahead of the curve, you should track his live training footage leading up to the Mexico City card. He's recently shifted some of his camp back to Entram Gym in Tijuana, and that homecoming usually results in a much more aggressive version of Moreno than what we saw in his last outing.