Honestly, looking at the sky right now in Birmingham, you’ve probably noticed that typical January gloom. It’s 46°F out there, feeling a bit sharper at 43°F thanks to a 6 mph breeze coming off the west. We’re currently sitting under a thick blanket of clouds, and while it feels like it could pour any second, the data from Google Weather shows only a 10% chance of actual rain for the rest of this Saturday.
Basically, we're in a bit of a transition period. The city just came off the back of some wild weather earlier this month—remember Storm Goretti? That mess basically shut down the rail network and Birmingham Airport just over a week ago. But this weather Birmingham 7 day forecast is looking a lot more stable, even if it’s going to be a bit of a rollercoaster for your thermostat.
The Week Ahead: Sunny Spells and Freezing Nights
If you were hoping for a snow day, you might be disappointed, but the clarity coming our way is a decent trade-off. Tomorrow, Sunday, January 18, is looking like the pick of the week. We’re talking full-blown sunshine. The high will only hit 43°F, but after days of grey, that vitamin D is going to feel like a gift. Just be ready for the drop; it's going to hit 24°F Sunday night.
Here is the breakdown of what to expect as we move through the next few days:
Monday starts off with some "peek-a-boo" sun. It'll stay partly sunny with a high of 46°F, which sounds okay until you see that overnight low of 21°F. That is going to be the coldest night of the week. If you have plants that aren't fans of the frost, Monday night is the time to bring them in or cover them up.
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Tuesday brings back the full sun, matching Sunday’s high of 43°F. It’s crisp. It’s dry. The humidity is dropping down to about 35%, so it’s that "dry cold" that feels much better than the damp chill we usually deal with.
Mid-Week Shift and the Return of the Rain
Things start to pivot by Wednesday, January 21. The clouds move back in, and the temperature actually starts to climb. We’ll see a high of 54°F. However, that warmth comes with a cost. By Wednesday night, there’s a 35% chance of light rain.
Thursday stays in that mid-50s range, hitting 54°F again with mostly sunny skies during the day. It’s a bit of a breather before Friday, which looks like the wettest day on the horizon. We’re looking at a 40% chance of rain during the day and a heavy 75% chance on Friday night. On the plus side, it’ll be a balmy 59°F—nearly 15 degrees warmer than the start of the week.
Understanding the Birmingham "Micro-Climate"
One thing most people get wrong about our local weather is how much the wind direction changes everything. This week, we start with a steady western flow at 8 mph, which keeps things cool but clear. By Wednesday, the wind shifts to coming from the south. That’s why we see that sudden jump from 43°F to 54°F.
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It’s also worth noting the UV index. Even on the sunny days this week, it’s only hitting a 3. You won't need the heavy-duty sunscreen, but don't let the cold fool you—the sun is still doing its thing.
The humidity is another factor to watch. We’re bouncing from 61% today down to 35% on Tuesday. That’s a massive swing. If your skin starts feeling like parchment paper by Tuesday afternoon, that's why. Keep the moisturizer handy.
How to Prepare for This Specific Forecast
Since the weather Birmingham 7 day forecast is moving from freezing dry cold to warmer wet conditions, your gear needs to be flexible.
Layering is actually essential for Monday and Tuesday. You’ll want a heavy outer shell for the morning commute when it’s in the 20s, but you might actually find yourself unzipping by mid-afternoon. By the time we hit Friday, forget the heavy wool—you’re going to need a solid waterproof layer that can handle that 75% precipitation chance.
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Also, check your tire pressure. These 30-degree swings between day and night (like Saturday’s 51°F high and 27°F low) are notorious for triggering those annoying "low tire" sensors in your car.
Keep an eye on Wednesday night's transition. That 35% chance of rain could easily turn into a messy commute if the temperature drops faster than expected, though current models suggest it will stay as liquid rain rather than the snow we saw during Storm Goretti.
Stick to the plan: sun early in the week, rain late, and freezing nights throughout.