Banner Bank Stock Price: Why BANR Might Surprise You This Year

Banner Bank Stock Price: Why BANR Might Surprise You This Year

Ever walked past a Banner Bank branch in Walla Walla or Boise and wondered if that green logo actually translates to green in a brokerage account? Honestly, banking stocks aren't usually the stuff of dinner party legends. They're the "sensible shoes" of the investing world. But if you’ve been watching the banner bank stock price lately, you know there’s a bit more drama under the hood than the quiet branch lobbies suggest.

Right now, as we sit in mid-January 2026, Banner Corporation (ticker: BANR) is trading around $65.96. It's been a wild ride since New Year’s. On January 2nd, the stock opened at roughly $62.47. Since then, it’s climbed over 5%. That might not sound like "to the moon" crypto numbers, but for a regional bank with a $2.25 billion market cap, that’s a pretty assertive move.

What’s Actually Moving the Banner Bank Stock Price?

It’s all about the "E" word. Earnings.

Banner is scheduled to drop its Q4 2025 results on January 21, 2026, after the market closes. Investors are currently playing a game of chicken with the numbers. Analysts are looking for an earnings per share (EPS) of about $1.45 or $1.46. If Mark Grescovich, the long-standing CEO, beats that number, we could see the stock test its 52-week high of $72.58.

But it’s not just about the raw profit.

People are obsessed with Net Interest Margin (NIM). For those not steeped in banking jargon, NIM is basically the difference between what the bank earns on loans and what it pays you for your savings account. In late 2025, Banner’s NIM was hovering around 4%. That’s healthy. Very healthy.

However, there's a flip side. The Pacific Northwest and the Western U.S. markets where Banner operates—Washington, Oregon, California, and Idaho—have seen some cooling in commercial real estate. If the upcoming earnings report shows a spike in "non-performing assets" (basically loans that people have stopped paying), that $65 price tag could get a haircut fast.

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The Dividend: Why Income Investors Stay

Let’s be real. Most people don’t buy BANR for explosive growth. They buy it for the check in the mail.

Banner recently declared a quarterly dividend of $0.50 per share. At current prices, that’s a yield of about 3.03%.

Is it the highest yield on the market? No.
Is it safe? Sorta seems like it.

Their payout ratio is sitting around 35%. This is the "Goldilocks" zone. It means they’re only using about a third of their profits to pay shareholders, leaving plenty of cash to cover losses or grow the business.

  1. Payout Ratio: 35% (Safe)
  2. Annual Payout: $2.00
  3. Yield: ~3%

Compare that to some of the bigger "too big to fail" banks that might offer higher yields but come with way more regulatory baggage. Banner feels like a neighborhood operation, but it’s a $16 billion asset beast.

What the "Smart Money" Thinks

Wall Street is currently a bit split on where the banner bank stock price goes from here. If you look at the consensus ratings, it’s a "Hold." But "Hold" is often code for "We like it, but we’re waiting for the next earnings call to be sure."

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The average price target from analysts currently sits at $71.17. Some optimists at Stephens Inc. have even slapped an $82 target on it. On the other end of the spectrum, you’ve got folks like the analysts at DA Davidson who are more cautious, keeping their targets closer to $72.

"Being recognized again as one of the strongest and most trustworthy financial institutions... is a tremendous compliment," CEO Mark Grescovich said recently.

It’s that "trustworthy" reputation that keeps the stock’s floor relatively high. People trust this bank. In a post-2023 banking crisis world (remember Silicon Valley Bank?), trust is literally currency.

Technicals and the "Vibe" Check

If you’re into charts, the RSI (Relative Strength Index) is sitting at 49.59.
That’s basically the definition of "neutral."
It’s not overbought.
It’s not oversold.
It’s just... there.

Wait.

Look at the volume. On January 15th, the stock saw a significant jump in price on relatively low volume compared to its historical peaks. This tells me the "weak hands" have already sold out, and the people holding now are likely the long-term dividend collectors.

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The Commercial Real Estate Elephant

We have to talk about the risk. Every regional bank is under the microscope for its exposure to office buildings and commercial spaces. Banner has a concentration here, particularly in its construction and commercial real estate portfolios.

If remote work continues to hollow out downtown cores in Seattle or Portland, those loans could sour. Right now, Banner’s total non-performing assets are manageable—roughly $33 million as of last year’s mid-year report. That's a drop in the bucket for a bank this size, but it’s the metric you need to watch when the January 21st report drops.

Is Banner a Buy Right Now?

Investing is personal, and honestly, your goals matter more than a ticker symbol.

If you want a stable 3% yield and you believe the Western U.S. economy is going to dodge a hard landing, Banner looks attractive at $65. It’s trading at a P/E ratio of roughly 12, which is way cheaper than the broader S&P 500 average (which is currently astronomical).

But, if you’re looking for a stock that’s going to double by summer, this isn't it. Banner is a "slow and steady" play.

What to do next:

  • Check the January 21st Earnings: Look specifically for the "Provision for Credit Losses." If that number jumps significantly, the stock might dip.
  • Watch the $64 Support Level: The stock has bounced off the $63–$64 range several times this month. If it breaks below that, the next stop could be the $50s.
  • Listen to the Call: CEO Mark Grescovich usually gives good "boots on the ground" insight into the PNW economy. It’s a great way to gauge if a recession is actually hitting the West Coast.

The banner bank stock price is more than just a number on a screen; it’s a reflection of how small businesses and homeowners in the West are doing. Keep your eyes on the earnings call next Wednesday—it’s going to set the tone for the rest of 2026.