Honestly, if you're looking at the amsterdam 14 day weather forecast and expecting a simple winter wonderland, you're in for a bit of a reality check. Amsterdam in late January 2026 is less about pristine snow-covered gables and more about a gritty, high-humidity chill that settles deep into your bones.
Right now, the city is wrestling with the aftermath of Storm Goretti. If you've been following the news, you know Schiphol Airport has been a mess lately. Flights delayed, ice on the taxiways—it’s been a whole thing. But as we move into this next two-week window starting January 18, things are shifting from "chaos" to "classic Dutch damp."
The Immediate Outlook: Grey is the New Black
The current vibe? Mostly cloudy. Today, January 18, we’re looking at a high of 43°F and a low of 33°F. It sounds manageable on paper, but with 94% humidity and a 6 mph wind from the southeast, that 34°F "real feel" is going to bite.
You’ve gotta understand the Dutch concept of biertje-weer (beer weather). This... isn't it. This is stamppot weather.
Tomorrow, Monday the 19th, stays pretty consistent. We’re expecting a high of 41°F. The big thing to watch for is the 35% chance of snow during the day. It probably won’t stick—it rarely does in the city center because of the canals and the urban heat—but it’ll make the cobblestones slippery.
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Why the Forecast Feels "Colder" Than the Numbers
Most people see 40°F and think a light jacket will do. Big mistake. Huge.
Amsterdam is a maritime city. That means the air is heavy with moisture. When it’s 33°F and 91% humidity (like it’ll be on Tuesday and Wednesday), the cold doesn't just sit on your skin; it moves through your clothes like a ghost.
- Tuesday, Jan 20: High 42°F, Low 33°F. Partly sunny, which is a rare treat.
- Wednesday, Jan 21: High 41°F, Low 33°F. Back to the clouds.
- Thursday, Jan 22: High 40°F, Low 32°F. This is when it gets interesting. We’re seeing a mix of rain and snow at night.
The east wind is going to pick up to about 9 mph on Thursday. That’s the "biter." Winds coming from the east in the Netherlands usually bring that dry, continental cold that makes your face go numb after three minutes of cycling.
Looking Toward Next Week: The Deep Freeze?
As we push into the later half of the amsterdam 14 day weather forecast, specifically around January 25 to January 28, the mercury starts to dip further.
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We are looking at daytime highs that barely scrape 34°F. Nighttime lows will consistently sit around 29°F or 30°F. If you’re hoping for the canals to freeze over so you can skate like a local, I wouldn't hold your breath. For the "Elfstedentocht" fever to kick in, we need days of deep, double-digit negatives, and we just aren't seeing that in the data.
What you will see is a lot of "partly sunny" intervals. This is actually the best part of late January. When the sun hits the Jordaan district at a low winter angle, the photo ops are incredible. Just make sure you’re wearing thermal leggings under your jeans. Seriously.
Survival Tactics for the Dutch Winter
Forget umbrellas. Really. The wind in Amsterdam eats umbrellas for breakfast. You’ll see them inside-out in trash cans all over the Damrak.
- The Raincoat Rule: Get a high-quality, windproof parka with a hood.
- Layering is a Science: Start with a wool base layer. Add a sweater. Top with the parka.
- Waterproof Boots: Those puddles between the cobblestones are deeper than they look.
Basically, the next 14 days in Amsterdam are going to be a test of your appreciation for "cozy." Embrace the gezelligheid. Find a brown café with a fireplace, order a Chocomel with whipped cream, and watch the sleet hit the window.
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The forecast is predictably unpredictable. One hour it’s "rain and snow" (Friday the 23rd has a 35% chance of both), and the next, you’ve got a clear sky. It’s all part of the charm, or so we tell ourselves.
Your Actionable Winter Plan
If you’re heading out this week, skip the outdoor walking tours on Thursday and Friday when the precipitation chance is highest. Save the Rijksmuseum or the Anne Frank House for those days. Use the "partly sunny" window on Tuesday the 20th or Tuesday the 27th to do your canal photography.
Check the wind direction. If it’s coming from the North or East, wrap a scarf around your face before you get on a bike. If it’s from the South, it’ll be damp but slightly more "mild."
Keep your eye on the "RealFeel." In Amsterdam, the number on the thermometer is a lie; the wind and humidity are the ones calling the shots.