Dallas weather is basically a mood swing you can't predict. One minute you're wearing shorts at a Stars game, and the next, you’re frantically wrapping your outdoor pipes because a "Blue Norther" just screamed across the Trinity River. If you’re looking at the 2 week weather forecast dallas, honestly, you have to embrace the chaos.
We are currently sitting in mid-January 2026. Right now, the vibe is crisp. Today, Thursday, January 15, we're looking at a high of 57°F and a low of 35°F. It’s classic North Texas winter—sunny, dry, and just cold enough to remind you it’s not May. But if you think this steady chill is sticking around for the next fourteen days, you haven't lived here long enough.
The Immediate Rollercoaster (Days 1-5)
Friday starts off deceptively mild. We’re expecting a high of 57°F again, but the National Weather Service out of Fort Worth is already eyeing another cold front. This one is slated to dive south Friday morning. It’s not going to be a total washout, but the winds are going to kick up. We're talking gusts between 25-30 mph.
If you have outdoor plans Friday night, reconsider.
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By Saturday, January 17, the mercury takes a dip. Highs will struggle to reach 45°F. The real story, though, is Sunday morning. We are looking at a widespread freeze across the Metroplex. Temperatures will likely bottom out in the mid-to-upper 20s. If you’ve got sensitive plants or a fickle pool pump, Saturday night is your deadline to get things covered.
- Thursday (Jan 15): 57° / 35° (Sunny and calm)
- Friday (Jan 16): 57° / 38° (Windy, front arrives)
- Saturday (Jan 17): 45° / 29° (Cloudy and cold)
- Sunday (Jan 18): 57° / 27° (Freezing start, sunny finish)
The Mid-Week Shift and Rain Chances (Days 6-10)
Most people get Dallas winters wrong by assuming "cold" means "snow." In reality, Dallas "winter" is often just a series of damp, gray days punctuated by weird 70-degree spikes.
Next week looks like it’s following that script. By Monday, January 19 (MLK Day), we’ll be back in the upper 40s to low 50s. It’s "light jacket" weather. But keep your umbrella nearby for Wednesday, January 21. The models are showing a shift in the longwave trough over the Eastern U.S., which could pull some Gulf moisture our way.
There’s about a 25% chance of light rain mid-week. It’s not a deluge, but it’ll be that annoying, misty Texas rain that makes I-35E a nightmare.
Tuesday through Thursday (Jan 20-22) will see a gradual warmup. We might even hit the low 60s by Thursday afternoon. The air will feel heavy and humid—a weird sensation for January, but totally on-brand for North Texas.
Looking Toward the End of the Month (Days 11-14)
What happens as we head toward the final stretch of January?
History tells us late January is when things get interesting. According to the National Weather Service's Seasonal Outlook, North Texas is leaning slightly "above normal" for temperatures this winter. This is largely due to the weakening La Niña conditions we’ve been tracking since late 2025.
For the period of January 24 through January 28, the 2 week weather forecast dallas suggests a return to sunshine. Highs will likely hover in the low 60s, with lows staying safely above freezing in the 40s.
However, don't let the 60-degree days fool you. January is notoriously fickle. While the current 14-day outlook doesn't show a massive "ice-pocalypse" like we saw in years past, the temperature variance is still huge. You can easily see a 30-degree swing in a single 24-hour period.
Why You Can't Always Trust the Apps
Weather apps are great, but they struggle with North Texas geography. Dallas is a heat island. If you're in Downtown or Uptown, you're often 3 or 4 degrees warmer than someone out in Denton or McKinney.
When you see a "low of 29" on your phone, and you live in Frisco, you should probably assume it’s going to hit 26. Conversely, if you’re heading to a Mavs game at the AAC, that "chilly" evening might feel much milder surrounded by concrete and crowds.
Also, the wind. Never ignore the wind. A 50-degree day in Dallas with a 20 mph north wind feels like 35. A 50-degree day with no wind feels like paradise.
Survival Tips for the Next Two Weeks
Since we are looking at at least one solid freeze and a few days of rain, here is the move:
- Drip the Faucets Saturday Night: Don't gamble with your plumbing. When Sunday morning hits that 27-degree mark, you'll be glad you spent five seconds turning on a slow drip.
- Layers are King: Don't commit to a heavy parka. Wear a hoodie under a windbreaker. You'll likely be peeling things off by 2:00 PM most days next week.
- Check Your Tires: Drastic temperature drops (like the one coming Friday night) cause tire pressure to plummet. If your "low air" light comes on Saturday morning, it's probably just the cold.
- Watch the "I-35 Mist": Next Wednesday's rain chance is low, but North Texas roads get incredibly slick after long dry spells. The first 15 minutes of rain are always the most dangerous.
The big takeaway? The 2 week weather forecast dallas looks relatively manageable, but Sunday's freeze is the one "hard" event you need to prep for. After that, it’s just the usual mix of Texas sunshine and gray clouds.
Keep an eye on the Friday front—it’s the gatekeeper for the rest of your weekend plans. If you're heading out to the Fort Worth Stock Show or just grabbing brunch in Deep Ellum, Sunday afternoon is actually looking like the winner of the week once that morning frost burns off.
Stay warm, keep the plants covered this weekend, and remember that in Dallas, if you don't like the weather, just wait five minutes.