So, you're looking at a 15 day forecast Pigeon Forge Tennessee and trying to figure out if you should pack that heavy parka or just a light hoodie. Honestly, the weather here in mid-January is a bit of a wildcard. One minute you're staring at a clear sky, and the next, the mountains are tucking themselves into a thick blanket of gray clouds.
Right now, as of January 15, 2026, it is a crisp 26°F outside. It feels more like 16°F though, thanks to a northwest wind. If you're walking down the Parkway tonight, you'll definitely feel that bite.
The Current Rollercoaster: Snow, Rain, and Sunny Spells
The next few days are basically a masterclass in Appalachian mood swings. Today, we’re looking at a high of 30°F with some light snow moving through. Don't expect a blizzard, but it's enough to make the sidewalk slick. Tonight, it drops to 19°F.
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Tomorrow, Friday the 16th, things get weird. The temperature jumps up to a high of 49°F. You'll think spring is coming early, but don't get too comfortable. By nightfall, there’s a 65% chance of rain showers and it’s going back down to 19°F. That kind of swing is exactly why locals always tell you to dress like an onion—layers are your only hope.
Saturday and Sunday (Jan 17-18) look a bit more stable. We’re talking highs in the 44°F to 34°F range with partly sunny skies. It’s actually pretty great weather for grabbing a hot chocolate and hitting The Island, especially since the Winterfest lights are still glowing strong through February 15th.
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Looking Ahead: The 15-Day Outlook
As we move into next week, the 15 day forecast Pigeon Forge Tennessee shows a stretch of clear, sunny days starting Monday, January 19th. It’s going to be beautiful but cold. Monday's high is 35°F, but Tuesday the 20th struggles to hit 29°F. The nights are the real kicker, dipping down to 14°F.
What to expect for the rest of the month:
- Jan 21-22: A warm-up back into the high 40s. Mostly cloudy, maybe some evening showers.
- Jan 23-24: We might hit 54°F! But there's a significant 75% chance of rain on Saturday the 24th.
- Late January: Historically, the last week of January stays in that "cold and damp" zone. You’ll see highs averaging around 49°F and lows hovering near freezing.
The "Expert" Secrets for a Winter Visit
If you're planning to hike, remember that Pigeon Forge weather is NOT the same as the weather at Newfound Gap. While it's 30°F in town, it could easily be 15°F with heavy snow at the higher elevations in the Great Smoky Mountains National Park. Roads like Kuwohi Road (Clingmans Dome) are closed for the season, and Newfound Gap Road often shuts down temporarily when ice moves in.
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Also, Dollywood is currently in its "winter nap" phase. The theme park doesn't officially open for the 2026 season until March 13th. However, if you're a music fan, the Winter Music Series at Dollywood’s DreamMore Resort starts January 30th. Mark Wills is the first act, though his shows are already showing as sold out.
Survival Tips for the Next Two Weeks
- Trolley Times: Since we’re in the winter schedule (as of Jan 5th), the trolleys run from 10:00 am to 10:00 pm. Don't stand out at 8:00 am expecting a ride; you'll just get cold.
- Indoor Backups: If that 75% rain chance on the 24th ruins your outdoor plans, head to the Titanic Museum or WonderWorks. They’re climate-controlled and a lot more fun than sitting in a damp cabin.
- Footwear: Forget the fashion boots. If you're doing any walking, you want waterproof soles. Between the light snow today and the rain coming next Friday, the ground is going to be a slushy mess.
Basically, the next 15 days in Pigeon Forge are going to be a mix of "let's go for a scenic drive" and "let's hunker down by the fireplace."
Your Winter Action Plan
Before you head out, check the NPS website for real-time road closures if you plan on entering the National Park. If you're staying in town, keep an eye on the Friday night rain forecast—that's the most likely time for travel delays due to visibility. Most importantly, keep your ice scraper in the car. You're going to need it at least four times in the next ten days.