If you’ve lived in the Mid-South for more than a week, you know the drill. You wake up in a parka, eat lunch in a t-shirt, and by dinner, you're checking the radar for a random flurry or a stray thunderstorm. Dealing with a 14 day weather forecast Memphis is basically like trying to predict a mood swing. It’s temperamental. Honestly, it’s just Memphis.
Right now, we are staring down a classic January stretch. Cold. Grey. Kinda bitey.
As of Saturday, January 17, 2026, the current temperature is sitting at a crisp 35°F, but it feels more like 28°F thanks to a northwest wind. The clouds are hanging low, and there’s a tiny 10% chance of rain. If you’re heading out to Beale or just grabbing groceries, you’re going to want the heavy layers.
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The Immediate Outlook: Freezing and Flurries
The next few days aren't bringing much of a heatwave. Today’s high is only hitting 37°F, and tonight we’re dipping down to a bone-chilling 21°F. Tomorrow, Sunday, January 18, looks sunny—which is a nice lie nature tells us—but the high is still stuck at 36°F. Clear skies mean those overnight lows are going to stay brutal, dropping back to 20°F.
Monday stays in the mid-30s. It’s basically a refrigerator outside.
The real "whiplash" starts midweek. By Tuesday, January 20, we see the mercury climb to 43°F. That sounds great until you see the overnight forecast: rain and snow. There’s a 25% chance of snow Tuesday night. It's that classic Memphis mix where the roads get just enough slush to make everyone forget how to drive.
Midweek Warmup and The Rain Returns
Wednesday, January 21, brings a bit of relief with a high of 45°F and some "partly sunny" vibes, though there is a 35% chance of rain during the day. This is where the humidity starts to creep back in. We usually hover around 49% humidity this time of year, but Wednesday is expected to hit 67%. It’ll feel heavy.
Then, the "warmth" (if you can call it that) actually sticks around for a minute.
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- Thursday, Jan 22: High of 45°F, low of 34°F. Sunny skies.
- Friday, Jan 23: High of 52°F. This is the peak of the week, but it comes with light rain and a 35% chance of snow flurries.
- Saturday, Jan 24: High of 51°F. Mostly cloudy.
Why Memphis Weather Is So Weird
You ever wonder why we get these massive swings? It’s the geography. We are sitting right in the crosshairs. Arctic air comes barreling down from the Great Plains, while moisture-heavy air pushes up from the Gulf of Mexico. When they fight, we get the mess.
Chief Meteorologist Trevor Birchett recently noted that wind chills could drop into the single digits during these transitions. It’s not just the temperature on the thermometer; it’s that damp, biting wind coming off the river that really gets you.
The Long-Range Trend: Heading Toward the End of January
Looking further out into the 14 day weather forecast Memphis, the pattern stays unsettled. Sunday, January 25, looks particularly messy. We’re expecting a mix of rain and snow with a high of 48°F, but then a massive cold front slams us, dropping the low to 19°F.
That is a 30-degree drop in a matter of hours.
By Monday, January 26, the high struggles to reach 33°F. There’s a 45% chance of snow during the day. If you have travel plans for the start of that final week of January, keep a very close eye on the local radars. Tuesday, January 27, stays cold at 37°F but clears up slightly.
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Typical January Stats vs. Reality
Usually, Memphis averages a high of 50°F in January. We are currently trending below that. While we only get about 2 inches of snow on average for the whole month, these little 25-45% chance windows can easily dump a dusting that shuts down the city.
Actionable Insights for the Next Two Weeks
Don't get caught off guard by the "sunny" icons on your phone.
- Check the Lows: The daytime highs are misleading. With multiple nights dropping into the 19°F to 22°F range, you need to drip your faucets and check on your outdoor pets.
- Watch the Tuesday/Sunday Windows: Jan 20 and Jan 25 are the high-risk days for "wintry mix" transitions. These are the days when black ice is most likely on bridges and overpasses.
- Layering is Key: Since we’re swinging from 35°F to 52°F and back down to 33°F, a heavy coat over a light sweater is better than one massive parka you can't shed when the sun finally hits.
- Humidity and Health: With humidity spiking near 70% during the rainier days, those with respiratory issues might feel the "heaviness" in the air. Keep the air filters at home fresh.
The bottom line? The end of January in Memphis is going to be a battle between brief sun and biting cold. Keep the ice scraper in the car. You're gonna need it.