Honestly, if you’ve lived in the East Bay for more than a week, you know the drill. You check the 14 day forecast oakland and see a string of "partly sunny" icons, but then you wake up and can’t even see your neighbor’s driveway because the fog is so thick. It’s kinda wild how a city this size can have five different weather reports happening at the exact same time.
The weather right now in Oakland—specifically this Thursday night, January 15, 2026—is actually pretty chill. We're looking at 52°F with clear skies and just a few periodic clouds drifting over the hills. A light northeast breeze at 2 mph is barely enough to rustle the leaves. But don’t let the calm fool you; Oakland weather is basically a game of "where exactly are you standing?"
The Two-Week Outlook: What’s Actually Happening
If you’re planning your life around the 14 day forecast oakland, you’ve gotta look at the numbers. Most people think January is just constant rain, but we're hitting a surprisingly dry, bright stretch. Tomorrow, Friday, January 16, is looking like a carbon copy of today: a high of 65°F and a low of 47°F. Sunny skies all day.
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Then things get a bit moodier.
By Saturday, January 17, the clouds move in. We'll still hit 64°F, but the sun’s going to be playing hide and seek. Sunday and Monday (January 18-19) keep that trend with highs around 64°F and 62°F. You might see a stray sprinkle—about a 10% chance—but nothing that’ll ruin a walk around Lake Merritt.
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The Mid-Week Dip
The real shift hits next Wednesday, January 21. Temperatures start sliding down into the high 50s. We're talking a high of 59°F and a low of 47°F. By Thursday, January 22, it gets even crisper with a high of only 57°F. That's when you’ll definitely want the heavy hoodie if you’re heading out to Jack London Square.
Why the Forecast Usually "Lies" to You
The biggest mistake people make with an Oakland forecast is assuming it applies to the whole city. It doesn’t. Not even close.
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Mark Choi, a local real estate expert who tracks these patterns, points out that the "flats" (like West Oakland or near the lake) and the "hills" (Montclair or Rockridge) are essentially in different climate zones. In the summer, the hills can be 10 degrees warmer. In the winter, the flats get hit with that damp, heavy bay air while the hills might sit above it in the sun.
- The Flats: Expect more morning fog and higher humidity. If the forecast says 65°F, it might feel like 60°F with the breeze.
- The Hills: You get more direct sun but bigger temperature swings. Once that sun goes down behind the ridge, the temperature drops fast.
Looking Toward Late January
As we push toward the end of the month, specifically January 24 and 25, the forecast stays consistent. Highs will hover between 58°F and 59°F with mostly cloudy skies. Wind speeds are staying low, mostly around 3 mph from the north or northeast.
Basically, it's classic "layers" weather. You start the morning in a coat, switch to a t-shirt by 2:00 PM, and grab the coat again by 5:15 PM when the sun sets.
Actionable Next Steps for Your Week
- Check the Humidity: Right now it's at 77%. If you're sensitive to damp cold, keep the heater on a low, steady setting rather than blasting it intermittently.
- Plan Your Outdoor Work: Friday (Jan 16) is your best bet for gardening or outdoor projects before the cloud cover increases over the weekend.
- Layer Strategically: Focus on wind-resistant outer layers for the mid-week dip (Jan 21-22) as the wind shifts slightly toward the southwest.
- Monitor the "Wet Day" Odds: While the current 10-day outlook shows low precipitation chances (mostly 10% or less), historical January data from sources like WeatherSpark shows a general 26% chance of rain. Keep an umbrella in the car just in case those "periodic clouds" decide to get heavy.
The current trend is dry and mild, which is a nice break from the atmospheric rivers we often see this time of year. Enjoy the 65°F days while they last this week!