If you’ve stepped outside on Broadway today, you probably noticed the neon signs look a little crisper in the biting air. Nashville is currently locked in a classic mid-January freeze that makes those summer music festivals feel like a lifetime ago. Honestly, it’s the kind of weather where you start reconsidering if that lightweight denim jacket was actually a "year-round" Nashville staple. Hint: It’s not.
Right now, we are looking at a current temperature of 23°F, though it definitely feels more like 16°F thanks to a persistent northwest wind. If you're planning your next two weeks in the 615, buckle up because the 14 day forecast for nashville tn is basically a rollercoaster of sunshine, sudden rain, and enough "wintry mix" talk to keep local grocery stores perpetually out of milk and bread.
What’s Happening Over the Next Week?
The next several days are going to be dominated by clear skies and bone-chilling mornings. Sunday, January 18, is bringing a high of 34°F with plenty of sun, but don’t let the bright light fool you. It’s going to be a "heavy coat" kind of day. Tonight, we’re dipping down to 19°F.
Monday gets even stingier. Expect a high of only 28°F under sunny skies. If you're commuting early, the low hits 17°F, and with wind speeds around 12 mph, that wind chill is going to be a real factor. Tuesday follows a similar script—another 34°F day with a frigid 17°F night.
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Mid-Week Moisture: The First Shift
Everything changes on Wednesday, January 21. We finally climb out of the deep freeze with a high of 40°F, but it comes at a price. We’re looking at a 40% chance of light rain during the day, which likely transitions into a messy rain and snow mix at night as the temperature hits 31°F. It’s that classic Middle Tennessee setup where the precipitation is just indecisive enough to be annoying.
Thursday, January 22, clears back up with a high of 44°F, making it one of the "milder" days of the week. But keep your umbrella nearby. By Friday, January 23, the temperatures climb to nearly 49°F, accompanied by light rain showers that will probably linger through the night.
The Long-Range Outlook: Looking Into Next Week
As we push into the second half of this forecast, the patterns get even more erratic. Saturday, January 24, stays cloudy with a high of 44°F, but there’s a 35% chance of snow during the day. Sunday, January 25, looks particularly messy. Daytime brings light snow and a high of 32°F, but the real concern is the night. We’re expecting a 75% chance of snow as the low drops back to 20°F.
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If you're keeping track, here’s the gist of the upcoming temperature swings:
- Monday, Jan 26: Snow likely, high of 31°F.
- Tuesday, Jan 27: Mostly sunny but cold, high of 30°F, low of 19°F.
- Late Week: Historical averages suggest we might see a slight rebound toward the 45°F range, but current models from the Farmers’ Almanac and local NWS stations indicate this January is skewing about 2 degrees below normal.
Realities of Nashville Winters
Most people think of the South as eternally temperate. Local meteorologists like those at Nashville Severe Weather often remind us that January is historically our coldest month. We average about 22 days where the mercury drops below freezing. While we only see about 3.6 inches of snow annually, it usually arrives in these small, unpredictable bursts rather than one big blizzard.
The humidity here plays a huge role. Even in winter, Nashville remains relatively moist. That 62% humidity we’re seeing right now makes the cold feel "heavy" and damp, sticking to your skin in a way that dry desert cold just doesn't.
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How to Actually Prepare
Basically, you've gotta be a layering pro. The difference between a Tuesday afternoon high and a Wednesday morning low can be 20 degrees easily.
- Check your pipes: With multiple nights forecasted in the mid-to-low teens (17°F and 19°F), it’s time to drip those faucets.
- Watch the "Clipper" systems: These fast-moving systems coming from the northwest are what's driving our current snow chances.
- Plan for the "Rain-to-Snow" transition: This is the Nashville specialty. Wednesday night is the first one to watch closely.
The 14 day forecast for nashville tn shows we aren't out of the woods yet. While we might see a few days nearing 50 degrees later in the month, the trend is staying decidedly wintry. Keep your plants covered, your pets inside, and maybe keep an extra scraper in the car.
Before you head out, make sure your tires are properly inflated; these temperature drops can trigger those annoying "low pressure" sensors overnight. If you're planning travel through the Cumberland Plateau later this week, expect significantly more snow than what we get in the Nashville basin. Stay warm out there.