If you woke up this morning in Manhattan and thought, "Wait, is it actually spring?" you aren't alone. Today, Wednesday, January 14, New York is sitting at a surprisingly balmy 50°F right now. Honestly, for mid-January, that feels like a total gift from the universe, especially with those light southeast winds just barely hitting 3 mph. But don't go packing away the heavy puffer jacket just yet.
New York weather is famously fickle, and the next week and a half is basically a masterclass in mood swings. We’re looking at a 10-day stretch that starts with rain, dives into a deep freeze, and ends with a genuine threat of a Saturday snow-out.
The Immediate Shift: From 50s to Freezing
Today's high of 52°F is the peak. Enjoy it. As we move into tonight, things get a bit messy with a 42% chance of rain and a low of 42°F. It’s that classic, grey NYC drizzle that makes the subway platforms feel extra humid.
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Then comes Thursday. The temperature takes a nose dive. We’re talking a high of only 42°F and a bone-chilling low of 24°F by Thursday night. If you’re commuting, watch out for the wind—it’s picking up to 13 mph from the west, which is going to make that 42 degrees feel a whole lot sharper.
What the rest of the week looks like
- Friday, Jan 16: It stays cold. High of 35°F, low of 24°F. The sky will be mostly cloudy, and while there's only a tiny 5% chance of snow during the day, that bumps up to 20% at night.
- Saturday, Jan 17: This is the day to watch. We’re looking at a "wintry mix" situation—rain and snow with a high of 41°F. There is a 35% chance of snow during the day. It’s that slushy, messy New York Saturday where you probably want to stay inside with a bagel and a movie.
- Sunday, Jan 18: The system clears out, but the cold sticks around. High of 34°F and a low of 23°F.
The Deep Freeze of Next Week
If you thought this weekend was chilly, wait until Monday and Tuesday. We are heading into the true "dead of winter" vibes. Monday, January 19, will be sunny but don't let that fool you—the low is dropping to 19°F.
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Tuesday, January 20, looks like the coldest day of this entire 10-day stretch. We’re struggling to reach a high of 27°F, and the overnight low is a staggering 15°F. With west winds at 16 mph, the wind chill is going to be brutal. Basically, if you don't have layers, you're going to have a bad time.
Survival Guide for the 10 Days Weather New York
New Yorkers know that "10 days weather New York" is more of a suggestion than a rule, but the trends here are pretty clear. We are transitioning from a mild, rainy start to a sustained period of sub-freezing temperatures.
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- Waterproof your life: Saturday’s mix of rain and snow is the perfect recipe for "slush puddles." If your boots aren't waterproof, you'll know within five minutes of hitting a crosswalk.
- Layering is a science: When it's 15°F on Tuesday, a single heavy coat won't cut it. You need a base layer to trap heat.
- Check the wind: A 16 mph wind in the concrete canyons of Midtown feels twice as fast. Those "wind tunnels" between skyscrapers are no joke.
Looking Toward Next Weekend
By the time we hit Friday, January 23, and Saturday, January 24, the temperatures "warm up" slightly to the mid-30s. But Saturday the 24th is bringing more snow into the forecast with a 45% chance of snow overnight and a low of 29°F. It seems like winter is finally deciding to show up for real after a bit of a late start this year.
Usually, January is the coldest month for the city, and this 2026 forecast is proving that. We’ve got a mix of everything: rain, sun, biting winds, and at least two distinct chances for snow.
Actionable Next Steps:
Check your window seals today while it’s still 50°F—you won't want to be fixing drafts when it hits 15°F next Tuesday. Also, make sure you've got salt or a shovel ready for that Saturday wintry mix; the transition from rain to snow usually means a layer of ice underneath the white stuff.