Honestly, if you’re living in or visiting Brum right now, you’ve probably given up on trying to predict the sky. One minute you're looking at a crisp, partly sunny morning, and the next, you’re scrambling for an umbrella. It’s classic West Midlands. But looking at the 10 day weather in birmingham, we’re actually entering a bit of a weird, transitional phase that's gonna catch a few people off guard.
Most people see "January" and think it’s just going to be freezing and dry or maybe a bit of slush. But the data for this week is telling a different story. We’re looking at a string of "light rain" days that are going to make the commute feel a bit like living in a car wash.
The Immediate Outlook: Getting Through the Weekend
Today, Friday, January 16, actually started off decent. It’s 43°F right now—which, let's be real, feels more like 38°F because of that 7 mph breeze coming up from the south. It’s partly sunny for the moment, but don't get cozy. Tonight, the chance of showers jumps up to 65%. If you’re heading out to Digbeth or Broad Street tonight, take a coat. You’ll regret it if you don't.
Tomorrow, Saturday the 17th, is basically a write-off for sun seekers. It’s going to be cloudy all day and all night. Temperatures will hang around a high of 47°F and a low of 41°F. It’s that damp, heavy air that makes everything feel a bit grey.
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Sunday and Monday: The Rain Sets In
Sunday, January 18, is when the "light rain" cycle really kicks in. We’re looking at a 35% chance of rain during the day and the same at night. The high will be 44°F, and the low stays at 41°F. It’s weirdly consistent.
Monday, January 19, isn't much better.
High of 48°F.
Low of 41°F.
Light rain again.
The humidity is going to be sitting at a staggering 91%, so expect a lot of frizz and fog.
The Mid-Week Slump and Toward Next Weekend
Tuesday, January 20, keeps the trend alive with more light rain and a high of 47°F. By Wednesday, the rain takes a tiny break, leaving us with a mostly cloudy day and a high of 45°F. But here’s the kicker: Wednesday night, the temperature drops to 38°F, and there’s a 10% chance of snow. It’s not a "snow bomb" yet, but it’s a sign things are cooling down.
Thursday, January 22, might actually see some sun again. It'll be partly sunny with a high of 43°F. But by nightfall, the rain is back.
The end of this 10-day stretch is where it gets interesting.
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Friday, January 23, brings a high of 42°F and a low of 35°F. We’re seeing a 20% chance of snow that night. Saturday is more of the same—light rain and a chilly low of 34°F.
The Big Shift: Sunday, January 25
If you’ve been waiting for the "real" winter, Sunday is your day. The forecast shows a mix of rain and snow both day and night. The high will struggle to reach 41°F, and the low will hit 34°F. With the wind coming from the east at 8 mph, it’s going to feel properly biting.
Basically, the next ten days are a slow slide from damp and mild to cold and wintry.
How to Handle This Mess
First off, stop trustng the "partly sunny" labels. With humidity staying between 81% and 94% for the next week, "partly sunny" usually just means "blinding glare on wet pavement."
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- Footwear is everything. Don't wear suede. You'll ruin it by Sunday.
- Layering for humidity. 48°F at 91% humidity feels much colder than 48°F in dry air because the moisture pulls heat away from your skin. Wear a base layer.
- Driving. The fog and light rain combo through Tuesday is going to make visibility on the M6 and A38 a nightmare during peak times. Give yourself an extra 15 minutes.
Keep an eye on that Sunday, January 25th window. If that rain-snow mix turns into a full-on flurry, the city will do its usual thing and grind to a halt. For now, just keep the waterproofs by the front door and maybe a scraper in the car for those late-week temperature drops.
Start prepping your car now by checking your tire tread and topping up your screen wash with a proper anti-freeze mix. If the low hits 34°F or lower as predicted toward next weekend, you'll be glad you didn't just use plain water.