If you’ve lived in the West Country for more than five minutes, you know the drill. You look out the window in Taunton, see a bit of blue sky, and by the time you’ve found your car keys, it’s basically horizontal sleet. Honestly, keeping up with the 10 day weather forecast Somerset UK right now feels like trying to read a map that's being rewritten while you’re walking.
We just came off the back of Storm Goretti, which was—frankly—a bit of a nightmare. Red warnings, 100mph gusts in the Southwest, and enough rain to turn the Levels into an actual inland sea. Now, as we hit mid-January 2026, things are settling into that classic Somerset "muddle" of damp, grey, and the occasional blast of Arctic air.
The immediate outlook: Damp but not quite drowning
Right now, Friday, January 16, we’re looking at a high of 48°F and a low of 39°F. It’s cloudy. It’s 93% humidity. Basically, if you hang your washing out today, it’ll be wetter when you take it in than when you put it out. There’s a lingering 20% chance of rain today, but the real story is the saturated ground.
The Met Office has been keeping a close eye on the River Axe and the Upper Reaches of the South East Somerset Rivers. Even though the "big" rain from Thursday is clearing, the ground is so soaked that even a light drizzle feels like a threat.
The weekend vibe (January 17-18)
Saturday actually looks... okay? Sorta.
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We’re expecting partly sunny spells with a high of 48°F. If you’re planning a walk up Glastonbury Tor or a wander through the Quantocks, Saturday morning is your best bet. Just don't expect it to last. By Saturday night, the clouds roll back in, and we’re back to a low of 40°F.
Sunday, January 18, is when the "light rain" returns. We’re looking at a 25% chance of rain during the day, jumping to 35% at night. The wind is coming from the East at a gentle 4 mph, which usually means that damp, biting cold that gets right into your bones.
10 Day Weather Forecast Somerset UK: The mid-week battleground
The real drama in the 10 day weather forecast Somerset UK starts around Tuesday and Wednesday.
There’s this massive "battle" happening in the atmosphere. On one side, you’ve got the Atlantic trying to push in mild, wet air. On the other, there’s a block of cold air sitting over the continent trying to shove its way West.
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- Monday, Jan 19: High 48°F / Low 42°F. Light rain early on, turning partly cloudy.
- Tuesday, Jan 20: High 49°F / Low 43°F. Mostly cloudy and breezy with 11 mph winds.
- Wednesday, Jan 21: High 49°F / Low 43°F. More light rain and gustier winds (13 mph).
Basically, it’s a lot of "meh" weather. Grey, mild-ish for January, and very Somerset. But keep an eye on Friday, January 23. That’s when the temperature starts to dip again, hitting a low of 35°F.
Will it actually snow?
This is what everyone asks.
The data for Saturday, January 24, is showing a 30% chance of light snow during the day. It’s not a "get the sledges out" kind of forecast yet, but it’s a significant shift. By Sunday, January 25, we’re back to rain/snow showers with a biting North wind at 15 mph.
The West Country is notoriously bad at snow. We usually get "slush" or "disappointment." But because the ground is already cold and the humidity is hovering in the 80-90% range, any drop in temperature late next week could turn those showers into something more interesting.
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Somerset's 10-day snapshot
| Date | High/Low | Condition |
|---|---|---|
| Fri Jan 16 | 48° / 39° | Cloudy |
| Sat Jan 17 | 48° / 40° | Partly Sunny |
| Sun Jan 18 | 46° / 40° | Light Rain |
| Mon Jan 19 | 48° / 42° | Light Rain to Clouds |
| Tue Jan 20 | 49° / 43° | Mostly Cloudy |
| Wed Jan 21 | 49° / 43° | Light Rain / Breezy |
| Thu Jan 22 | 48° / 42° | Showers at Night |
| Fri Jan 23 | 45° / 35° | Rain/Snow Mix at Night |
| Sat Jan 24 | 45° / 35° | Light Snow |
| Sun Jan 25 | 47° / 40° | Light Rain |
What this means for your week
If you’re a farmer on the Levels, you’re probably already watching the river levels like a hawk. For the rest of us, it’s mostly about travel and heating.
The Met Office and the Environment Agency still have flood alerts active for the Mid Bristol Avon and the River Axe. Even if the 10 day weather forecast Somerset UK doesn't show a massive "Storm Goretti" part two, the cumulative effect of rain on saturated ground is the real risk.
Honestly, the best thing you can do is keep your gutters clear and maybe hold off on any major gardening projects. The ground is a sponge right now. Walking the dog across a field? Wear the tall wellies. Not the short ones. You’ve been warned.
Actionable steps for the next 10 days
- Check your flood risk: Use the GOV.UK flood service if you live near the Axe or the Brue.
- Saturday window: Use Saturday, Jan 17, for any outdoor chores. It’s the driest day in the current run.
- Watch the freeze: Friday night (Jan 23) looks like the first real frost risk in a while. Protect your pipes and check on elderly neighbors.
- Stay updated: January weather is volatile. A small shift in the jet stream can turn a "cloudy" Tuesday into a "washout" Tuesday.
Keep an eye on the wind direction too. When it shifts to the North or East late next week, that "feels like" temperature is going to drop way faster than the thermometer suggests. Stay warm, Somerset.