Nashville is doing that thing again. You know, the one where it tries to be three different seasons in the span of 48 hours. If you’ve lived in Middle Tennessee for more than five minutes, you know the drill: don't even think about putting your heavy coat in storage just because the sun came out for an hour.
Right now, we are staring down a 10-day weather forecast in Nashville Tennessee that basically looks like a topographical map of the Himalayas. We’re starting with a strange, humid warmth and ending in a deep freeze that’ll make you question why you don't live in Florida. Honestly, it’s a lot to keep track of.
The Immediate Mess: Rain, Snow, and a 20-Degree Drop
Today, Friday, January 16, 2026, is a perfect example of why Nashville weather is so chaotic. We’re sitting at a high of 53°F. That sounds almost pleasant, right? Wrong. The humidity is creeping up, and there’s a massive 63% chance of precipitation during the day, which is currently showing up as light rain.
But here’s the kicker.
As the sun goes down, everything changes. The temperature is going to plummet to 33°F tonight. That rain? It’s going to get confused. By tonight, we’re looking at a 65% chance of snow. It’s that classic Nashville "winter mix" where the roads get just greasy enough to make the morning commute a nightmare, even if it doesn't look like a winter wonderland outside.
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The wind is also being a total pain. We’ve got southwesterly gusts around 13 mph, so even that 53-degree high feels a bit sharper than the thermometer suggests.
The Cold Snap Hits (January 17 – January 20)
Once we get through this messy Friday, the arctic air really settles in. Saturday, January 17, is going to be a reality check. The high only hits 41°F, and the low drops to a bone-chilling 22°F. If you’re planning on going to Broadway or hitting a Preds game, layer up. It’s going to be "partly sunny," which is meteorologist-speak for "the sun is out but it’s doing absolutely nothing to help you."
Sunday and Monday are when things get truly brutal.
- Sunday, Jan 18: High of 36°F, Low of 21°F. It'll be sunny, but that's a lie.
- Monday, Jan 19: This is the bottom of the barrel. We are looking at a high of 33°F and a low of 15°F.
Yes, 15 degrees.
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Basically, Monday night is the time to make sure your outdoor faucets are covered and your pets are inside. It’s a "dry" cold, with humidity dropping down to 31%, which means your skin is going to feel like parchment paper.
Mid-Week Tease: The Warmth Returns (Sorta)
Tuesday, January 20, starts the slow climb back to civilization. We’ll see a high of 39°F, which will feel like a tropical vacation compared to Monday's 15-degree low. By Wednesday, January 21, the 10-day weather forecast in Nashville Tennessee takes another wild turn.
We jump back up to 49°F. But, because this is Nashville, we can't just have warmth without a side of chaos. There’s a 35% chance of a rain and snow mix during the day, turning into a 40% chance of snow at night as the low hits 32°F. It’s a recurring theme this week: the moisture arrives just as the cold air does.
Looking Toward Next Weekend
If you can survive the roller coaster of the next several days, Friday, January 23, looks like the winner. We’re hitting a high of 51°F with partly sunny skies. It’s the best day in the forecast for getting outside without your nose turning blue.
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However, don't get too comfortable. Saturday, January 24, brings back the "light rain" and "showers" with a high of 51°F, but the temperature crashes again to 27°F by Saturday night. By Sunday, January 25, we’re back into the 40s with mostly cloudy skies.
Nashville Weather: 10-Day Snapshot
| Day | High/Low | Condition |
|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jan 16 | 53° / 33° | Light Rain to Snow Mix |
| Sat, Jan 17 | 41° / 22° | Partly Sunny / Cold |
| Sun, Jan 18 | 36° / 21° | Sunny & Bitter |
| Mon, Jan 19 | 33° / 15° | Sunny / Hard Freeze |
| Tue, Jan 20 | 39° / 17° | Sunny / Still Freezing |
| Wed, Jan 21 | 49° / 32° | Rain and Snow Mix |
| Thu, Jan 22 | 44° / 32° | Partly Sunny |
| Fri, Jan 23 | 51° / 34° | Partly Sunny |
| Sat, Jan 24 | 51° / 27° | Light Rain & Showers |
| Sun, Jan 25 | 40° / 25° | Mostly Cloudy |
What Most People Get Wrong About January in Nashville
A lot of people think Nashville is "The South" and therefore immune to winter. Tell that to the people who got stuck in the 2024 freeze or the 2021 ice storm. The issue isn't the amount of snow; it's the transition. We rarely get a clean 4-inch blanket of powder. We get rain that freezes into a sheet of ice, then a dusting of snow on top to hide it.
Honestly, the biggest danger in this 10-day weather forecast in Nashville Tennessee isn't the 15-degree low on Monday; it's the 63-65% chance of snow today and tonight. When temperatures hover right at the freezing mark (32°F-33°F), the road conditions are unpredictable. One bridge might be fine, and the next could be a skating rink.
Survival Tips for the Next 10 Days
If you're out and about, keep a few things in mind. First, the wind is coming from the southwest today but will shift northwest by Monday, bringing that biting arctic air.
- Protect the Pipes: Monday night's 15-degree low is "burst pipe" territory. Open those cabinet doors under the sink.
- The Layer Rule: With highs jumping from 33 to 51, you need layers. A heavy parka on Monday, but maybe just a light jacket by Friday.
- The Grocery Run: You don't need to buy all the milk and bread in Davidson County, but having enough for a couple of days during the Friday/Saturday transition isn't a bad idea.
The 10-day weather forecast in Nashville Tennessee is basically a reminder that winter is finally here. It took its time getting to the party, but it’s making up for it now. Stay warm, watch the bridges tonight, and maybe keep an extra blanket in the car just in case.
Next Steps for Nashville Residents:
Check your tire pressure today. Cold snaps cause air to contract, and you’ll likely see that annoying "low pressure" light on your dashboard by Monday morning. Also, take twenty minutes to clear any debris from your gutters; that 63% rain today will turn into ice in your downspouts tonight if they're clogged.