You’ve finally cleared your schedule for a quick run down to Puerto Peñasco. The bags are halfway packed. But then you look at the 10 day forecast rocky point mexico and see a high of 68 degrees.
Wait. Isn't Mexico supposed to be hot?
Honestly, January in Rocky Point is a whole different vibe than the sweltering humid mess of August. If you’re coming from Phoenix or Tucson, you might think you’re just getting more of the same desert chill. You’re kinda right, but the Sea of Cortez changes the math.
The Reality of the Next 10 Days
Right now, as of January 17, 2026, the current temperature is sitting at a crisp 57°F. It’s sunny, sure, but there’s a 5 mph breeze coming off the north that'll make you reach for a hoodie.
If you’re heading down this weekend, Saturday is looking like the winner. We’re talking a high of 73°F and a low of 53°F. That is prime "sitting on the patio with a coffee" weather. Sunday stays decent at 74°F, though the clouds start rolling in.
Then things get a bit gray.
Monday through Wednesday (Jan 19-21) the highs dip to a steady 68°F. It’s going to be cloudy. It’s going to feel a bit damp with humidity hovering around 50%. Is it "beach weather"? Only if your version of the beach involves a windbreaker and a long walk on the sand rather than a dip in the water.
Day-by-Day Expectations
- Saturday (Jan 17): Sunny, high 73°F. Perfect for the fish market.
- Sunday (Jan 18): Partly sunny, high 74°F. A bit of a breeze at 8 mph.
- Monday (Jan 19): Cloudy, high 68°F. Don't expect a tan today.
- Tuesday (Jan 20): Partly sunny, high 68°F. The sun is trying, bless its heart.
- Wednesday (Jan 21): Sunny, high 68°F. Crisp and clear.
- Thursday (Jan 22): Cloudy, high 67°F. Quiet vibes.
- Friday (Jan 23): Cloudy, high 67°F. Still sweatshirt weather.
- Saturday (Jan 24): Sunny, high 70°F. Things are looking up for the weekenders.
- Sunday (Jan 25): Light rain, high 69°F. There's a 20% chance of rain, so keep the car windows up.
- Monday (Jan 26): Mostly cloudy, high 68°F. Back to the status quo.
Can You Actually Swim?
Short answer: No.
Longer answer: Only if you’re a polar bear or have a 3mm wetsuit.
The water temperature right now is hanging around 57°F to 60°F. For context, most people find a swimming pool "cold" when it hits 78°F. Jumping into the Sea of Cortez in January without neoprene is a great way to lose your breath and regret your life choices.
If you're a surfer or a diver, you'll be fine with the right gear. For the rest of us? Stick to the heated resort pools. Most of the big spots like Las Palomas or Sonoran Sky keep their main pools or hot tubs at a temperature that won't give you hypothermia.
Why This Forecast is Actually Secretly Great
Look, I get it. You wanted 90 degrees and a margarita with melting ice. But here’s what the 10 day forecast rocky point mexico doesn't tell you: the town is amazing when it’s cool.
First off, no sweat. You can walk the Malecón without needing a shower every twenty minutes. You can actually hike the Pinacate Biosphere Reserve without worrying about heatstroke.
💡 You might also like: Jersey Explained: Why This Quirky British Island Isn't Actually in the UK
Also, the whales.
January is peak whale watching season. When the air is cool like this, the whales are active. You can hop on a boat, and because it’s not 100 degrees out, the two hours on the water is actually pleasant instead of a test of endurance.
The Travel Factor: Staying Safe and Legal
Driving down Highway 8 from Lukeville is generally considered a "safety corridor." This means more police and better signage. Even though the U.S. State Department has general advisories for Sonora, this specific route to Rocky Point is the one thousands of Arizonans take every single week without issue.
Just don't drive at night. Not because of "banditos," but because of black cows. Seriously. A 1,000-pound cow standing in the middle of a dark highway is a way bigger threat to your vacation than anything else.
Also, as of January 2026, the FMM (tourist permit) price has bumped up to about $54 USD (983 MXN). You need this if you’re staying more than 72 hours or heading further south, but honestly, just get it at the border or online to be safe. It’s better than a headache later.
What to Pack for a 68-Degree High
Forget the "tropical" wardrobe. Pack layers.
You’ll want shorts for the afternoon when the sun is hitting your balcony, but you absolutely need a hoodie or a light puffer jacket for the evenings. When that sun goes down and the wind picks up off the water, it drops to 53°F fast.
It's "desert cold." It bites a little.
Basically, treat this trip like a cozy retreat. Think fire pits, fresh shrimp tacos, and watching the sunset without mosquitoes (they hate the cold too, thankfully).
Your Immediate Next Steps
Check your resort's pool status. If they don't have a heated pool, you're going to be spending a lot of time indoors. Book a whale watching tour for that Saturday or Sunday window when the sun is out. Finally, make sure your Mexican auto insurance is printed and ready—don't rely on a digital copy when you're at the border.